The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Kolter: AI models contain an unpatchable buffer overflow vulnerability
“This is sort of like these models have a buffer overflow in all of them that we know about, and most importantly, that we don't know how to patch and fix. We don't know how to fix this yet with models”
Zico Kolter Sep 4, 2024 ▶ 39:51 Zico Kolter: OpenAI's Newest Board Member on The Biggest Questions and Concerns in AI Safety | E1197 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Kolter: Larger AI models perform better on fixed datasets without plateauing
“But it is also true that if you just take a fixed data set and run over it multiple times, if you use a bigger model, it will often work better, right? So I think that we have not really reached the plateau there.”
Zico Kolter Sep 4, 2024 ▶ 9:40 Zico Kolter: OpenAI's Newest Board Member on The Biggest Questions and Concerns in AI Safety | E1197 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Kolter: Training custom AI models from scratch will become economically unviable
“Companies that are right now thinking about training their own models and things like this, and it's just sort of the default that of course you would do this, that this must, won't be an economically viable thing to do. In the future, and so it won't happen a…”
Zico Kolter Sep 4, 2024 ▶ 17:33 Zico Kolter: OpenAI's Newest Board Member on The Biggest Questions and Concerns in AI Safety | E1197 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Kolter: Existing AI models can already analyze code to find security vulnerabilities
“I think this is essentially already solved in many cases by these models that can already solve and analyze code to find vulnerabilities.”
Zico Kolter Sep 4, 2024 ▶ 41:11 Zico Kolter: OpenAI's Newest Board Member on The Biggest Questions and Concerns in AI Safety | E1197 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Kolter: Public AI models are trained on around 30 terabytes of text data
“Public models are trained on the order of, you know, 30 terabytes of data or something like this, right? So 30 terabytes of text data.”
Zico Kolter Sep 4, 2024 ▶ 6:01 Zico Kolter: OpenAI's Newest Board Member on The Biggest Questions and Concerns in AI Safety | E1197 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Kolter: AI foundation model landscape will likely undergo market consolidation
“And I think there will be most likely consolidation, but I'm not quite sure how it will play out.”
Zico Kolter Sep 4, 2024 ▶ 17:12 Zico Kolter: OpenAI's Newest Board Member on The Biggest Questions and Concerns in AI Safety | E1197 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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