The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Weinberg: Companies should take socio-political stances before their business is affected
“There are things that eventually have an effect on the business, and you need to make a stand on them before they have that effect.”
Weinberg: Initial checks drive almost all value in venture returns
“I'm more and more convinced that it kind of doesn't matter. And actually by far the most important thing is did you get into the right great company in the first place? It's the initial check that drives almost all the value.”
Weinberg: Founders should sell under 5% of equity in secondary sales
“For the founder, I encourage them to take enough money off the table that they're comfortable taking a big swing at a bigger outcome. And for some people, just to put some numbers against it, some people, that's a million dollars. Because remember, you're goin…”
Weinberg: Companies can take public stances while prohibiting workplace political debates
“You can say, I believe these things are important, and also say to an employee base, however, don't bring it into the day-to-day office, don't bully people, and if you do bully people, and if you do push people based on their beliefs, we're going to fire you, …”
Weinberg: Tech companies are not democracies; control rests with CEOs and boards
“And Jeff is completely right. It is not a democracy and it's really up to the CEO. And then ultimately the board who controls who the CEO is.”
Weinberg: Second-time founders with small first exits are the best investments
“I have found that second time founders who had a good but small first outcome are by far and away the best people to invest in.”
Weinberg: Operator Partners targets at least 2x next-round valuation step-ups
“We're looking for things where the multiple on the next round, not because I care about the markup at all, but because it shows Real growth and real value creation is more than like two X, let's call it as a baseline. So if I'm going to fund a company at a 10 …”
Weinberg: Wealth increases happiness by providing total flexibility over time
“I actually would say the money has made me happier. Maybe I'm not supposed to say it, but it's true, but it's not because, oh, I get to go around like spending it on cars and houses and stuff like that. It's just the flexibility to choose where you want to spe…”
Weinberg: Seed investments must project at least a 2x Series A step-up
“And we're looking for things where the multiple on the next round, not because I care about the markup at all, but because it shows Real growth and real value creation is more than like two X, let's call it as a baseline. So if I'm going to fund a company at a…”
Weinberg: Startup liquidity cycle times are now 10 years or longer
“I think the cycle times on these companies are so long. We used to say seven years, but I think it's actually much closer to 10, if not longer.”
Weinberg: Shifting existing customer budgets is easier than creating new ones
“It's a lot easier to go after a market where people are already budgeting for that type of expense, whether it's a business is already budgeting for it, And you're just shifting it from where they spend it today to what you're going to do. And that's a lot eas…”
Weinberg: Founders considering preemptive rounds must do realistic bottoms-up milestone planning
“The conversation usually with them is a, what I would call like a private one-on-one of, take your sales hat off, For a second, take your hype person hat off. Cause as a founder, you know, you're selling every single day, whether it's to recruits or customers …”