The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Gul: Airlift will reach free cash flow in Pakistan within 6-9 months
“For us specifically, Harry, we're looking at free cash flow across all markets across the country. In our first market in, in Pakistan sometime between Q four and Q one within the next six or nine months.”
Usman Gul Jun 4, 2022 ▶ 1:03:40 Q-Commerce in Emerging Markets with the CEOs of Airlift, JOKR, & Zepto | 20VC #892 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Gul: 10-minute delivery models require billions in capital to reach profitability
“So you're going to have to raise multiple hundreds of millions of dollars, if not billions of dollars to build the order density that is required to make that AOV profitable ultimately, right?”
Usman Gul Jun 4, 2022 ▶ 42:59 Q-Commerce in Emerging Markets with the CEOs of Airlift, JOKR, & Zepto | 20VC #892 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gul: Airlift combined picking and delivery costs are 10% to 10.5%
“Yeah, so we're currently doing between three and four percent on picking costs, and we're doing, what, six to seven percent on delivery costs. So our total comes down to about 10 to 10.5% for delivery and picking inclusive.”
Usman Gul Jun 4, 2022 ▶ 29:48 Q-Commerce in Emerging Markets with the CEOs of Airlift, JOKR, & Zepto | 20VC #892 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gul: Airlift aims to reduce combined fulfillment costs to 7% by year-end
“We're planning to get this to about seven percent by the end of the year”
Usman Gul Jun 4, 2022 ▶ 30:00 Q-Commerce in Emerging Markets with the CEOs of Airlift, JOKR, & Zepto | 20VC #892 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gul: Airlift generates 1.3-2% of revenue from ads
“We're seeing between 1.3 to two percent of revenue from the advertisements platform. We've just got into this space, right? And the benchmark for Delivery Hero is about three percent.”
Usman Gul Jun 4, 2022 ▶ 51:39 Q-Commerce in Emerging Markets with the CEOs of Airlift, JOKR, & Zepto | 20VC #892 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Gul: Airlift achieved a $9.20 average order value in Pakistan
“But as of January of this year, our average order value was about nine dollars and 20 cents.”
Usman Gul Jun 4, 2022 ▶ 38:11 Q-Commerce in Emerging Markets with the CEOs of Airlift, JOKR, & Zepto | 20VC #892 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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