The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tom Blomfield: AI innovations will be replicated across competitors within months
“The US has made like non-competes even less enforceable now. People, talent is going to jump between these places so quickly. So you discover an innovation at one place, and if weeks or months later, it's replicated everywhere else, I think.”
Tom Blomfield May 13, 2024 ▶ 47:50 Tom Blomfield: Do the Best All Raise Pre-Demo Day & YC's Fundraising Advice to Startups | E 1152 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Blomfield: OpenAI will not displace specialized vertical AI startups
“And like, I don't think OpenAI is going to come and steamroll, like, the construction company, AI companies, because they're not going to deeply integrate into the processes and software that exists in each of those industries.”
Tom Blomfield May 13, 2024 ▶ 49:32 Tom Blomfield: Do the Best All Raise Pre-Demo Day & YC's Fundraising Advice to Startups | E 1152 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2027
Blomfield: Every computer worker will have an AI assistant by 2027
“So I really believe everyone who works with a computer will have an AI co-pilot assistant thing in the next two or three years, whether you're like an oncologist or a law professor.”
Tom Blomfield May 13, 2024 ▶ 49:42 Tom Blomfield: Do the Best All Raise Pre-Demo Day & YC's Fundraising Advice to Startups | E 1152 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Tom Blomfield: I will absolutely never found another company
“Absolutely not. I love it, but it ruined... It ruined my life in a way.”
Tom Blomfield May 13, 2024 ▶ 53:10 Tom Blomfield: Do the Best All Raise Pre-Demo Day & YC's Fundraising Advice to Startups | E 1152 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Blomfield: Monzo will launch a third-party marketplace financial control center
“I'm really, really excited about building out this marketplace of products from third parties on the Monzo platform to be a real control center, to let our customers manage all of their money wherever it sits within a single place.”
Tom Blomfield Nov 30, 2018 ▶ 32:52 20VC: Monzo's Tom Blomfield on The 3 Phases of Startup Scaling, The Secret To Building a 1.2m Community with No Advertising & How To Use Boards As A Tool To Instil Operational Excellence
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