The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ferriss predicts the podcast industry will become much more challenging for creators
“I think the podcast world is going to get much more challenging, particularly with some of the decisions that I made.”
Tim Ferriss Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 28:34 20VC: Tim Ferriss: Why I Walked Away From Angel Investing After Uber | How I Accidentally Lost $150 Million | Money Fixed My Problems—Then Made Me Miserable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ferriss: Personal investment policy is now holding all startup equity indefinitely
“Like now my policy is just let almost everything ride. Like if they go public, if they go to zero. If they don't go to zero, they might go to a hundred X. So just like assume you do not know and just hold onto them.”
Tim Ferriss Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 51:27 20VC: Tim Ferriss: Why I Walked Away From Angel Investing After Uber | How I Accidentally Lost $150 Million | Money Fixed My Problems—Then Made Me Miserable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ferriss plans to reduce public visibility as he enters fatherhood
“And as I start looking towards future chapters with parenting and kids and so on, I want less and less of that.”
Tim Ferriss Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 5:59 20VC: Tim Ferriss: Why I Walked Away From Angel Investing After Uber | How I Accidentally Lost $150 Million | Money Fixed My Problems—Then Made Me Miserable
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