why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Ferriss: VCs and crossover funds bloated seed valuations and ruined angel terms
“Then around 2015, a lot of the VCs started coming downstream. Or upstream, as it were, choose your metaphor. And they were hunting in the same ponds that the angels were. And before you know it, then you have like Tiger Global and all sorts of other folks who …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ferriss built a 300,000-subscriber email list before ever sending a single broadcast
“I was collecting email starting in 2017 from fourhourworkweek.com and never emailed anybody. I was like, I get too many email. I don't want to get more email. I assume other people don't either, so I'm just not going to email these people. Had like, when I fin…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ferriss attributes his podcast breakthrough to booking Arnold Schwarzenegger and Jamie Foxx
“The two episodes that come to mind, I would say, were Arnold Schwarzenegger and Jamie Foxx, because it was early enough in the game That A-tier celebrities were not really on podcasts.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ferriss predicts the podcast industry will become much more challenging for creators
“I think the podcast world is going to get much more challenging, particularly with some of the decisions that I made.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ferriss: Personal investment policy is now holding all startup equity indefinitely
“Like now my policy is just let almost everything ride. Like if they go public, if they go to zero. If they don't go to zero, they might go to a hundred X. So just like assume you do not know and just hold onto them.”
Assertion Supported
Ferriss: Drinking hot liquids from standard disposable cups causes high microplastic consumption
“Disposable to go cups in most places outside of maybe blue bottle coffee, which uses a sugar cane coating, I believe. So you're putting hot water, hot coffee, hot matcha, whatever in that you are consuming lots of microplastics.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ferriss plans to reduce public visibility as he enters fatherhood
“And as I start looking towards future chapters with parenting and kids and so on, I want less and less of that.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ferriss has shelved fewer than six of his 800-plus recorded podcast episodes
“I would say out of 800 plus episodes, there are half a dozen or fewer that would fit the category I'm describing.”