why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tim Draper: Bitcoin is more secure than money at Goldman Sachs
“And Bitcoin now is, you know, my Bitcoin is more secure than money at Wells Fargo or Goldman Sachs.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tim Draper: Bitcoin and blockchain will disrupt venture capital like Uber
“All of these things, Bitcoin, the blockchain, there are going to be new technologies applied to venture capital just the way file sharing was applied to the music industry, or Uber was applied to the taxi industry. I think venture capital is going to be change…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tim Draper predicts widespread Bitcoin adoption will occur by 2018
“Yeah, I think the adoption, I thought it would be three years and that was two years ago. It might be another two years because all of these entrepreneurs who have worked very hard to create uses for Bitcoin, those uses are starting to be adopted.”
Assertion Contradicted
Tim Draper: I created viral marketing by putting messages in Hotmail
“I created the idea to put a message at the bottom of everybody's email at Hotmail.”
Insight
Tim Draper: Aspiring VCs do not need prior entrepreneurial experience
“Some people are become very good venture capitalists just coming straight. I think if you want to be an entrepreneur, you should just go be an entrepreneur. If you want to be a venture capitalist, you should just go be a venture capitalist.”
Disclosure
Tim Draper: We funded Tesla before Elon Musk took over
“And it was actually true of Martin Eberhard when we funded Tesla before Elon Musk came in and refund, refinanced it and took it over.”
Opinion
Tim Draper: Elon Musk is very thoughtful, unassuming, and nice
“And he's very thoughtful. Unassuming, and one of the nicest guys out there.”
Insight
Tim Draper: Enormously successful founders share enthusiastic but quiet confidence
“In all the cases of the greatest entrepreneurs, I think it's been enthusiastic, but quiet confidence that I see in the ones that became enormously successful.”
Assertion Partly supported
Tim Draper: Bitcoin makes cross-border transfers almost free compared to fiat
“People, people spend 10 to 20% of their money just Moving it across. And if you use Bitcoin, it's almost free.”
Assertion Contradicted
Tim Draper: Plug and Play founder Saeed Amidi created the first incubator
“Saeed Amidi, who has, who really put the first incubator together.”
Disclosure
Tim Draper prefers investing in early two-to-three person teams
“I like investing when there are two or three people in the company and they have a really good mission. And that can be before they've gotten any revenue or just after.”