The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2033
Boland: Europe will spend €2-3 trillion on defense within 8 years
“And there's probably, what, two to three trillion can be spent over the next five to eight years in Europe, in defense, actually, and all layers, not just final product, but like components, and there's lots of layers here, I think.”
Stan Boland Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 35:39 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Boland: Europeans will become much more open to doing business with Chinese companies
“So I think Europeans are gonna be much more open to working with Chinese companies and doing business in China than they were even a year ago, actually.”
Stan Boland Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:07:48 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Stan Boland: UK tech sector will reach $500B valuation in 10 years
“I think in, in 10 years time, I think we will be on, we will have achieved this five hundred billion dollars valuation in, in tech, and the UK will be seen as the magnet in Europe in which people come to kind of build these companies so that, that's what I thi…”
Stan Boland Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:24:37 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Boland: Edge AI Inference Will Require High Silicon Capacity
“I mean, yeah, but with that is coming a lot more sort of chain of thought reasoning, a lot more test time compute, so the token generation is still going up, actually. So I still think there's going to be a large amount of silicon required to be able to do sor…”
Stan Boland Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:13:36 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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