why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2117
Bannon: Animal agriculture will be completely eliminated within 100 years
“I believe that animal agriculture will be eliminated from the face of the earth within the next hundred years.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bannon: Synthetic biology seed costs now match standard SaaS seed budgets
“There have been a number of changes over the last five years that actually allow you to get from idea to prototype product on the same amount of money you would need to raise for a seed round if you're raising for a SaaS company, right?”
Assertion Partly supported
Bannon: Othellis blood diagnostic hardware costs $250 and $5 per test
“The Ethelus device cost 250 bucks, and each test Costs five dollars, and it gives you results in minutes, and it works.”
Assertion Supported
Bannon: 83% of MBAs would take a pay cut for societal impact
“Net Impact did a study of MBA students and found that 83% would take a 15% pay cut to work for a company that had positive societal or environmental ends.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bannon: Fifty Years requires a clear path to $1B in revenue
“Our sort of like very high level filters are we want founders that are interested in building billion dollar businesses that have positive impact. Then we want to see ourselves a path to a billion dollars in revenue. And then we want to see ourselves the path …”
Assertion Supported
Bannon: 87% of millennials measure business success beyond financial performance
“Deloitte, for example, did a study of 7700 millennials across 29 countries. And 87% of the millennials they surveyed said that the success of a business should be measured in terms of more than just its financial performance.”
Assertion Supported
Bannon: Y Combinator has heavily shifted focus to biotech since 2013
“Even if you look at something early stage like Y Combinator, right, they have invested way more attention and resources into attracting and helping synthetic biology and biotech companies than they did four years ago. Four years ago, they weren't doing it at a…”