why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Williamson: AI will merge PM, design, and engineering into a single role
“I can imagine this triple roll down the line where they're doing PM, design, and engineering with the help of AI.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Williamson: Founders rely on pedigree bias when hiring product managers
“Most of them haven't been a product manager. They have no idea what this role is about. So they don't know what to look for. They don't know how to grade it. And so they go off of pedigree. Oh, they were at Google or B they know the lingo, you know, they talke…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Williamson: Only 20% of product teams operate in an outcome-focused way
“Maybe 20% of teams work this way. Still a minority.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Williamson: Clear writing is mandatory for success at all-remote GitLab
“GitLab's all remote. You're dead in the water if you can't write clearly at GitLab, so it was testing all those things at once.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Williamson: Budget constraints are forcing PMs into short-term tactical work
“There are fewer engineers, fewer PMs, fewer designers. People are being asked to do more with less. I would guess the average PM probably has less time to get out of the building. And there's more focus on revenue. And if you're a product manager and you're tr…”
Assertion Supported
Williamson: SendGrid and GitLab required opportunity canvases and Amazon-style strategy docs
“There are two that we used at SendGrid and GitLab that I think were essential. One was a one pager called an opportunity canvas, which asked PMs to outline sort of the concept they wanted to build. And the other one, it's like a two to six pager. I think Kevin…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Williamson: GitLab recorded and internally published all product review meetings
“At GitLab, we recorded all of them, and we posted them, and anybody who wanted to watch them could. So we were very transparent about all these meetings. You could see them all as an internal employee.”