why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Farquhar: AI will significantly alter top tech company rankings within five years
“I do think that there's going to be a big change in how technology works and change the landscape, honestly. I think you'll walk in five years time, and the list of top companies may look very different to today, so I don't think you can avoid having an AI str…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2028
Farquhar: Atlassian will never require employees to return to offices
“We made the decision that we would never require someone to come back into an office”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Farquhar: AI will disrupt high-cost per-seat SaaS pricing models
“I will put pressure on per seat pricing. I agree with that premise in general. For example, if you provide help desk software and it's, you know, licensed on a per agent basis. And in many cases, these, our competitors have these things that are a hundred doll…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Farquhar: Jira will never be as simple as products built for five-person teams
“We're never going to be as simple as something that, you know, has built from scratch for a five person team.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Farquhar: Software Won't Become Free Despite the Collapse of Per-Seat Pricing
“So, in general, the premise is true. I don't think we know what we move to, and I don't think software is suddenly going to become free because, you know, per user pricing just doesn't work.”