The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Startups with $15M ARR valued at $1.2B will struggle recruiting executives
“Like, hey, if you're a 15 millionaire or a business valued at 1.2 billion, I think you're going to have a challenging time recruiting the caliber of senior leadership that you want.”
Ryan Denehy Nov 4, 2021 ▶ 13:56 20VC Unscripted: Pricing is Crazy, Pre-Emptive Rounds are Normal, Pricing at 200x Revenue Multiple is Common, There is More Cash Than Ever. What Happens Next; Market Analysis with Ryan Denehy, Founder and CEO @ Electric
Prediction Held up
Public markets cannot absorb the thousands of unicorns created since 2019
“If a thousand billion dollar plus valuation companies were created in the last two years, what we all know to be true is that in two to five years, like the public markets will not be able to ingest a thousand, maybe 2000 of these businesses far from it. And m…”
Ryan Denehy Nov 4, 2021 ▶ 17:53 20VC Unscripted: Pricing is Crazy, Pre-Emptive Rounds are Normal, Pricing at 200x Revenue Multiple is Common, There is More Cash Than Ever. What Happens Next; Market Analysis with Ryan Denehy, Founder and CEO @ Electric
Prediction Held up
High valuations will trigger a major surge in total startup failures
“Yeah, so based on that, like, honestly, I think you're going to see a lot more zero.”
Ryan Denehy Nov 4, 2021 ▶ 20:31 20VC Unscripted: Pricing is Crazy, Pre-Emptive Rounds are Normal, Pricing at 200x Revenue Multiple is Common, There is More Cash Than Ever. What Happens Next; Market Analysis with Ryan Denehy, Founder and CEO @ Electric
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Electric will be a successful public company within five years
“Electric's a public company, and a very successful one. Definitely within the next five years, that's a huge priority”
Ryan Denehy Nov 4, 2021 ▶ 32:56 20VC Unscripted: Pricing is Crazy, Pre-Emptive Rounds are Normal, Pricing at 200x Revenue Multiple is Common, There is More Cash Than Ever. What Happens Next; Market Analysis with Ryan Denehy, Founder and CEO @ Electric
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Denehy: Electric will reach $100M ARR within five years
“Envision us as a de facto market leader. You know, this is a hundred million plus AR business, strong public market fundamentals, world-class leadership team, and probably still the coolest swag in the game.”
Ryan Denehy Nov 8, 2019 ▶ 33:45 20VC: Why Pre-Product Market Fit Is About Systems Design Not Engineering, The Right Way For Leaders To Approach Wartime Leadership Today & A Guide To Recruitment Forward Planning with Ryan Denehy, Founder & CEO @ Electric
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