why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bitcoin will succeed, but adoption will take longer than expected
“Fly, but it's going to take a lot longer than people think.”
Assertion Supported
Zendesk disproved the $1,000/month minimum pricing rule for enterprise software
“Five years ago, it used to be the case that You enterprise products had to be something you could sell for at least a thousand dollars a month. Otherwise you couldn't sell them economically. And then Zendesk comes along and completely rips that apart.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moffat: Startups are being funded earlier and with less data
“And what you're now seeing is good companies are getting chased by VCs. They're getting funded before they were thinking about doing a funding round. They're getting funded on less sort of traction, less data than would have been the case a few years ago.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
VCs will launch separate seed arms to leverage AngelList
“I think a lot of this will be VCs probably having some sort of separate Seed funding arm, which probably uses AngelList alongside to help to do that early stage investing.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rob Moffat: Most venture capital recruits are headhunted
“Most people who get recruited into BC get headhunted so sort of chasing it is unlikely to work”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Google doubled its London headcount from 250 to 500 in 2006
“So when I interviewed in 2006, they had 250 people in London. And when I joined three months later, it was more like 500.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Portfolio support grows from 10% to 50% of a VC's time
“The longer you spend in VC, I've been doing it for six years now, and started off with probably 10% of my time on portfolio companies and now it's probably more like 50%,”