why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zullo: Secondary offers will reduce peer fund returns from 7x to 1x
“I've definitely heard some secondary offers on some big, big companies that I know that are going to turn Some of our peers from seven X funds to one X funds.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zullo: Downturn will force founders to listen to boards or be fired
“And I think as you go and see a bunch of bridge rounds, down rounds, and all this other stuff that's going to happen in the next couple years, like, The reality is founders are going to have to listen a lot more to their board and because of the board doesn't …”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Zullo: Venture market will see more startup busts than bridge rounds
“I think there's gonna be more busts than down rounds and bridges.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zullo: Top $2B+ funds won't invest in non-decacorn, lukewarm startups
“If it's not super hot or not going to be a deco core company, my guess is, you know, most of those top 10 venture firms that are over two billion are not going to be knocking on your door.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zullo: Many multistage VC partners will leave their firms within 3-5 years
“I think the reality is the broken incentives that venture firms have of all these zombie VCs that are Series A, Series B, Series C at multistage funds, a lot of those venture investors may not be there three to five years from now. If you are building a compan…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zullo: Venture capital will transition to asset management model
“But I think it's splintering off of professionalization of turning into asset management is really going to happen in venture in the next couple of years.”