why aren't all 50 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Malik: Paid acquisition is a drug that underperforms on user retention
“Paid acquisition is a total drug. It makes everyone feel good because top of funnel numbers move up, and once you see those, you know, weekly activation rates, well, no one wants to see that go down. But it's going to underperform on retention, and maybe most …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Malik: Turning off Lyft's paid channels reduced signups by only 5-10%
“And so the growth marketing team turns off every single paid channel and installs and signups barely move. They go down by like maybe five, 10%. I don't remember what it was and what did go down. It was all Low quality. So every marketing dollar that was being…”
Insight
Malik: AI companies must focus on concrete utility rather than AI buzzwords
“You need to abstract away this whole AI piece and just go straight to the value prop of get answers immediately backed by sources.”
Disclosure
Malik: Perplexity does not have a dedicated marketing department
“What's cool about Perplexi is we don't have a marketing department.”
Opinion
Malik: Perplexity's ultimate target is competing directly against Google
“I think search is a massive market to go after, and so if there's somewhere we want to live, it's going up against the big guy.”
Opinion
Malik: Apple privacy changes killed Meta ads as a core scaling channel
“I mean, I think especially with all the latest Apple changes, I don't know how anyone is going to make Instagram or Facebook ads efficiently work at scale as like a core growth channel.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Malik: Lyft overestimated product iteration potential and hit diminishing returns early
“We overestimated how much better we could make the ride sharing product. I think we started to hit, like when you look at ride sharing four or five years ago versus today, how much has the product changed? Not that much. So if you don't believe, well, sorry, i…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Malik: The majority of AI value will emerge at the application layer
“When I joined Perplexity and was writing out my pro-con list, I think the one that was, like, up there was, like, can the application layer capture and monetize value? And, or is it all just, you know, one big pass through cost? And now, you know, fast forward…”
Opinion
Malik: Most people in the tech industry absolutely hate MBAs
“MBAs have such an interesting reputation in tech. Most people just absolutely hate them.”
Insight
Malik: Invest in growth teams after reaching 30% month 3-4 retention
“As soon as you see that you have early signs in retention, like we're seeing like, you know, if you see 30% retention in month three or four, you have the kindling in your fire where it is now worth it to go put gasoline on it, go make that investment.”
Insight
Malik: Big tech runs A/B tests primarily to justify performance reviews
“And then the ugly is I'm running an AB test. So that I can put something in my performance review about a number I moved, or I can like say something to my manager. And you see that as companies get bigger, right? We're running A-B tests just to like be able t…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Malik: Organic word of mouth drives 80% of Perplexity's growth
“Word of mouth, yeah. About 80%.”
Insight
Malik: Non-social consumer apps should aim for 45% month-six retention
“I think it was like by month six, you want 45% is really, really, really good. That's the target, right? That's where I want to push to, especially when you're not a social product that has more of like that smile retention curve.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Malik: Perplexity is completely unoptimized for driving user subscriptions
“Like you look at perplexity, it is completely unoptimized for driving subscriptions.”
Disclosure
Malik: Perplexity caps ad testing spend at $10,000 per week
“Not much at all. You don't need to spend much to really understand what that retention is going to look like. 10 K a week.”
Insight
Malik: Growth strategy requires being first to a channel or significantly better
“There's no middle ground. If you're not first, it literally just means your only other option is to just be a lot better than everyone else. And that's like where we need to hold ourselves to.”
Insight
Malik: Former founders make better growth hires due to high risk tolerance
“We have a lot of founders here, and I think the best part about hiring founders is that They are much more comfortable at taking very big swings and being willing to fail. Like it is by nature. If you're going down the founder path, you have to be a little bit…”
Insight
Malik: Removing experiment guardrails drives company-wide bold thinking
“I mean, you don't want to put guardrails over their ability to experiment and try different things. Guardrails is going to hurt everyone. It's going to make everyone think a little bit smaller. You remove those guardrails. Everyone's thinking big.”
Disclosure
Malik: Perplexity requires take-home assignments for every growth role candidate
“I do for every, every role. It's a big ask, so I am cognizant of trying to keep it well scoped.”
Insight
Malik: Needing a detailed onboarding document signals a bad hire
“My rule of thumb is if they truly need an onboarding doc, we're in trouble.”
Insight
Malik: Employees quit bad teams, not bad managers
“People say that, you know, they quit the manager, not the company. Like, I think people quit the team.”
Insight
Malik: Third-party endorsement and product bundling beat direct marketing
“We can go out and scream from the mountaintops about perplexity, but it is a lot better when someone else is telling you to use it, or it is being bundled into an existing product of yours.”
Insight
Malik: Users need three to seven product exposures before trying it
“You need someone to hear about your product three to seven times before they're going to give it an honest trial.”
Disclosure
Perplexity's key activation metric is three queries in a user's first session
“If I can get a user from perplexity specifically to three queries in that first session. Well, now I know I'm really onto something.”
Insight
Malik: MBAs make sense primarily for entering structured corporate paths
“I think MBAs make a lot of sense for people who are trying to break into a specific industry. Like if you are trying to break into private equity or you want to be a PM at Amazon or go into McKinsey, then MBAs have like your preset path and you just follow you…”
Insight
Malik: Growth is user retention and power-user development, not acquisition
“Growth is not just about, let me fill the top of the funnel with new users. It's about getting those users to become retained, to develop into power users so that you can eventually monetize them.”
Insight
Malik: Growth teams must take high-risk swings at least quarterly
“My rule of thumb is once a quarter, we have to be taking at least a couple massive swings, right? A big new feature, a big marketing campaign. It has to be high risk. It has to be high reward.”
Insight
Malik: A 25% success rate on major growth swings is exceptional
“I'd say 25% would be pretty great on these big swings. Maybe like one, once a year, we have just a banger campaign or banger new feature that is now really driving growth or really opened up a new audience for us.”
Insight
Malik: Teams running A/B tests without intuition are flying blind
“You should go into an AB test with a pretty strong confidence of what's going to happen. And this is where like intuition comes in of like, We're running this, and here's what I think is going to happen. I think we're really going to move this metric, but we m…”
Insight
Malik: Growth teams must check if short-term metrics still drive retention
“One is monitoring. Does this still correlate down the road once we're done with gaming it, once we're done with tinkering with it? And if we're seeing it, that correlations start to break, well, okay, I'm not being honest with myself around if we're actually h…”
Disclosure
Malik: Perplexity's long-tail influencer marketing strategy failed and wasted time
“Totally underestimated the amount of effort it is to work individually with creators on specific content and making sure they get the right messaging and perplexity is not a simple concept to explain. Like me saying AI search engine means nothing. And so to ma…”
Assertion Contradicted
Malik: Duolingo achieves a world-class 50% 12-month user retention rate
“Yeah, that's 12 month retention at 50%. World-class. And the engine they have built is incredible.”
Insight
Malik: Organic channels always outperform paid acquisition in retention
“Organic and referrals is always going to have higher retention than paid acquisition and partnerships.”
Insight
Malik: Knowledge-gap search intent drives sticky user retention over curiosity
“You see a lot of trial users that like are coming in from like curiosity traffic, like the weekenders that are putting in, you know, how many times does someone fart in a day? That's a little bit lower retention. If I'm here to solve a knowledge gap, like I'm …”
Opinion
Malik rates Perplexity's online search description a six out of ten
“I'd give us a six right now.”
Insight
Raman Malik: Only optimize CAC-to-LTV after retention hits diminishing returns
“Do they have, are they at the scaling period where it is now turn on these channels and drive growth because we feel Really good about where we are in terms of retention or any incremental work we're going to do on trying to move activation or move early reten…”
Disclosure
Malik: Perplexity barely uses paid acquisition channels
“We, I mean, we don't really. We barely touch paid.”
Disclosure
Malik: Perplexity's only paid acquisition is lightweight TikTok ads for young users
“So right now, like the only paid acquisition we've ever touched and it's so lightweight are some just like simple TikTok ads testing different value propositions with 18 to 24 year olds.”
Disclosure
Malik: Perplexity found newsletter sponsorships ineffective for paid growth
“A good example of another area I got burned was newsletter sponsorships. It's like, okay, like there, there's some interesting audiences here. I want to try this out, but I think it's really hard unless you have a really crisp product that you can put into a r…”
Insight
Malik: Community marketing via power users is an underappreciated growth lever
“I think community and how you can unlock your power users to share the value of your product to their own miniature communities is incredibly powerful.”
Disclosure
Malik: Perplexity drives substantial traffic from user sharing without viral loops
“I don't think sharing is inherent to the perplexity user journey or user flow. Like, I don't think that we have an inherent viral loop where someone does some research and then shares a thread or screenshot to another person. But there's a lot of sharing happe…”
Prediction Held up
Malik: Perplexity plans student-focused partnerships for distribution at scale
“So I think a lot about the student audience. And so there's some partnerships in that student world that I really want to break into to help drive distribution within students at scale.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Malik: Perplexity shifts strategy to partner with fewer high-relationship creators
“And so I think we're moving very quickly as we'd rather work with fewer creators and just develop a really good relationship with them.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Malik targets 30% conversion rate for logged-out Perplexity visitors
“From that logged out experience, we, I'd love to push that into, like, the 30% of users are hitting my milestone metrics, and we're converting them to signed in users.”
Insight
Malik: Cross-device app conversion is a key retention driver
“Cross device conversion is really, really strong for retention because now you're using it on weekends. You're using it during the day.”
Prediction Held up
Malik: Perplexity is moving toward simpler landing page messaging
“Where we're moving to is really simple language around ask anything or what do you want to know and search like never before.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Malik: Perplexity under-indexes in brand awareness among students vs ChatGPT
“There are students using perplexity and getting tons and tons of value, but we under index and awareness with students relative to chat GPT.”
Opinion
Malik: Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas uniquely bridges strategy and granular details
“He can go from a very high level company strategy of what direction do we need to go very quickly, two seconds later, down into incredibly specific weeds of like what a user funnel should be. He can jump at these layers like no one I've ever seen. And this is …”