The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Lacaillade: Founders Fund, a16z, Greenoaks, and Thrive proactively marked down valuations
“In my core relationships Founders Fund's the most extreme, because Peter Thiel's very contrarian and he wants to reset the mindset of his team. Which I think is great. But Andreessen Horowitz, Green Oaks Thrive, they've all proactively marked down their compan…”
Lacaillade: Big secondary investors avoid venture capital, creating a market gap
“Most of the secondary people are not really comfortable in venture... I think all the big secondary players skew towards heavily towards buyout portfolios. So there's a gap in the market.”
Lacaillade: Charter rules block large state pensions from sub-$1B funds
“They have a rule in their charter that they can't be more than 10% of a fund. And they can't write less than a hundred million dollar check. Therefore, they can't invest in funds that are smaller than a billion dollars.”
Lacaillade: Multiple billion-dollar-plus venture funds have achieved 5x-plus returns
“Founders Fund, like, there, if you, I mean, I'm saying some of the data, like, there's, I, there's a number of examples of big funds being five X plus, right?”
Lacaillade: LPs stopped investing post-GFC and missed top vintages
“Going back to the start of our conversation, like, you know, six and oh seven, like, a lot of people poured a bunch of money into, like, large cap buyout stuff, and then, you know, didn't commit after the goal for, like, oh nine, 10, 1112, and they missed some…”