The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Östberg: The food delivery capital bubble did not advance the industry
“I don't think it moved industry forward that much. I think it just drove some non-sustainable behavior and same here.”
Niklas Östberg Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 45:52 Niklas Östberg, Founder @ Delivery Hero: Competing with Uber and Doordash in a Capital Arms Race · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Östberg: Large competitor balance sheets are not a threat in food delivery
“I don't think that the balance sheet matters. I don't know. In the end, that is not what limits any compared to spend money. It's going to be the return that is going to limit a compared to spend money. So it's going to be hard for a door dash or Uber or somew…”
Niklas Östberg Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 51:37 Niklas Östberg, Founder @ Delivery Hero: Competing with Uber and Doordash in a Capital Arms Race · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Östberg: Delivery Hero was overvalued at its peak and is undervalued today
“We were definitely overvalued, and we are probably undervalued today.”
Niklas Östberg Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 0:40 Niklas Östberg, Founder @ Delivery Hero: Competing with Uber and Doordash in a Capital Arms Race · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Östberg: Food delivery is not a winner-take-all market
“No, I don't think it's a winner-takes-all market. I probably changed my view there. Proven wrong, frankly.”
Niklas Östberg Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 12:12 Niklas Östberg, Founder @ Delivery Hero: Competing with Uber and Doordash in a Capital Arms Race · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Östberg: Deliveroo is undervalued by public markets and will continue growing profitably
“And we can argue if Deliveroo is correctly valued today, I would argue they are too low value today. I don't know. It's a profitable business. It's growing and will continue to grow and it will make more money. So, so I do think that it's clear value in that b…”
Niklas Östberg Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 13:22 Niklas Östberg, Founder @ Delivery Hero: Competing with Uber and Doordash in a Capital Arms Race · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Östberg: The COVID-19 pandemic was ultimately not good for Delivery Hero
“So I think effectively in the end, COVID was not a good thing for us.”
Niklas Östberg Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 46:26 Niklas Östberg, Founder @ Delivery Hero: Competing with Uber and Doordash in a Capital Arms Race · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Östberg: Selling Delivery Hero's German home market made the company stronger
“I think the same selling our home market was clearly a contrarian decision. Maybe some investors thought it was okay, but I think in the company there was a very contrarian view to sell your home market. But I think that that made us incredibly strong.”
Niklas Östberg Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 10:11 Niklas Östberg, Founder @ Delivery Hero: Competing with Uber and Doordash in a Capital Arms Race · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Östberg: Almost every geographic market in the world can work for food delivery
“But I don't think it's about a market. I think every, I don't know, almost every market in the world would probably work with this. It's just a matter of getting that product market fit right.”
Niklas Östberg Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 55:11 Niklas Östberg, Founder @ Delivery Hero: Competing with Uber and Doordash in a Capital Arms Race · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Östberg: European regulations place an unfair burden on local tech companies
“And they all make sense and they have good intention, but in collectively, it's just a big burden on, on, on those European companies. And I think a little bit unfairly that they are not the same criteria for other companies competing in Europe. So I think thi…”
Niklas Östberg Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 1:01:30 Niklas Östberg, Founder @ Delivery Hero: Competing with Uber and Doordash in a Capital Arms Race · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Östberg: The European Union's Digital Markets Act is good regulation
“I think DMA is an example of good regulation.”
Niklas Östberg Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 1:02:53 Niklas Östberg, Founder @ Delivery Hero: Competing with Uber and Doordash in a Capital Arms Race · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Östberg: Antitrust regulations prevent food delivery consolidation in the UK
“Now, I don't think that there is, it's possible to consolidate UK and a few other market due to high trust. Reasons. So you can probably not consult at Deliveroo and just eat the Uber and Deliveroo and so on.”
Niklas Östberg Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 13:44 Niklas Östberg, Founder @ Delivery Hero: Competing with Uber and Doordash in a Capital Arms Race · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Östberg: Public AI narratives are cosmetic compared to actual operational efficiency
“If you have a story or not, that's a little bit Cosmetics. I don't care for that cosmetic so much. I care for actually leveraging and truly make our business better for it.”
Niklas Östberg Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 1:05:45 Niklas Östberg, Founder @ Delivery Hero: Competing with Uber and Doordash in a Capital Arms Race · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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