why aren't all 40 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Huber: Wealth redistribution would revert to 80/20 inequality within five years
“You could take all the money in the United States right now. You take all the money and you could divide it equally among everybody. Take all the money and divide it equally. And in five, 10, 15 years, you could argue about the timeframe. In five years, at lea…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Huber: Poorest Americans today live better than wealthiest Americans 50 years ago
“Today the poorest people in America have a better life than the wealthiest people in America 50 years ago. They have better access to healthcare. They have better living situations. They have more amenities. They have better food. It trickles down massively, a…”
Opinion
Huber: Prevailing victim culture gives accountable families a competitive advantage
“I think this woke mindset and virus is a tremendous advantage for me and my family. The people who buy into it, Our victims, the people who buy into it are blaming other people, the people who buy into it are focusing on things that are totally outside of thei…”
Opinion
Huber: Refusing to leave an inheritance is a parenting cop-out
“A lot of entrepreneurs kind of brag about the fact that they're not going to give anything to their kids. They say it like I am going, I'm going to give all my money away and my kids will find, will get their own cash or opportunity or whatever it is. I think …”
Insight
Huber: Advice from successful people is risky for new entrepreneurs
“And also is that everybody who gives advice is a successful person because, you know, you got to have a resume to make your advice weighted, so all the people who have the most, you know, Clout and, you know, status on Twitter, they're all successful people, a…”
Opinion
Huber: Money is drastically underrated and essential for happiness
“Money is drastically underrated in this world today. The people who say that money doesn't matter are full of shit.”
Insight
Huber: Founders can succeed at a high level working 30 hours
“I think that you can play this game of business at a really high level working 30 hours a week. And the people who say that they can't and that they have to work 70 hours a week are kind of Working on the wrong shit.”
Opinion
Huber: 95% of people are better off working for a company
“I think 95% of people are way better off going and working for a company. Earning great money, building their skills over time, and then focusing on other areas of life that is not business and entrepreneurship.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Huber: Tech VCs haven't set foot in a Walmart in 10 years
“These folks have not been in a Walmart in 10 years. They have, they just haven't been in one. They haven't looked at the average American. They have no idea what the average American thinks about, you know, looks for, eats does with their free time. They have …”
Opinion
Huber: People are overly picky when choosing a marriage partner
“People get way too serious about trying to find that person. I think if you find somebody who you're physically attracted to, You're emotionally stimulated, mentally and emotionally stimulated by, and you can trust them, and you can, that's number one. If you …”
Opinion
Huber: Raising children is ten times more important than a corporate career
“Me and my wife have very similar moral views, and how we think about Household responsibilities, and jobs, and who does what, and she thinks, and I think as well, that her raising kids is miraculously and 10 times more important than a career. The child that y…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Huber: Wealthier families are more likely to coddle their children
“The more well off a parent and family is, the more they coddle their kids, and the more they try to keep them from feeling pain.”
Opinion
Huber: Capable parents have a duty to have many children
“It is my duty as a person who I think at least that I have my shit together when it comes to parenting and that I'm going to raise decent kids. It's my duty to create as many as I possibly can.”
Insight
Huber: Being the best in business requires living an unbalanced life
“If you want to be the best, if you want to be the richest in the world, if you want to be the best business person in the world, you have to live an unbalanced life and that you can't actually be the best in the world at two things.”
Insight
Huber: Entrepreneurs who claim business is easy are lying
“The entrepreneurs who just say, all this is easy for me, are lying because business is really hard. Putting yourself out there is really, really hard.”
Disclosure
Huber: Twitter persona is deliberately more extreme than his actual views
“I'm a lot more nuanced. I'm a lot more moderate on so many different opinions, but look, that is not how you build a brand.”
Insight
Huber: Only one in a thousand leaders can effectively delegate decisions
“The second level of delegation, which is Way harder and way more uncomfortable, and one in a thousand people can do well, is delegating decisions.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Huber: Companies reach $3M EBITDA with a single decision-maker
“As a business owner, you can get really far with only delegating tasks. You can, there's businesses that I know of, friends of mine who own companies that are doing one, two, three million dollars a year of EBITDA, And they are the only decision maker at their…”
Insight
Huber: The only reliable way to evaluate hires is seeing them work
“And I realized, hey, the only real way that I can figure out if somebody's good is to get them in and get them to start working.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Huber: Software will never clean, build, or maintain physical infrastructure
“Those things are not cleaned, built, maintained by software, and they never will be. There's a huge part of the world that is localized and physical and requires sweat and work.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Huber: Intends to pass his wealth and network to his children
“I'm going to teach my kids how to handle money, teach my kids how to think about money, and I'm going to set them up with all the opportunities that I possibly could. Why would I do all this work to build this network, to build these companies, to build genera…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Huber: Will not protect his children from hardship and struggle
“I'm going to teach my kids how to struggle with grace. I'm going to let them practice making decisions. I'm not going to put them in a bubble so that all the decisions are made for them and that they get out into the real world and it's time for them to make d…”
Insight
Huber: Modern parents and entrepreneurs suffer from high isolation
“And I think it's really, the sad part is, is that women are so isolated. They're so isolated. There's no community. 50 years ago in small town America, all the sisters and siblings and friends lived on one block, and they were popping in each other's houses, a…”
Insight
Huber: Protecting children from life's brutal reality sets them up for failure
“I think the number one thing that you can do to set your children up for failure is to protect them from the fact that life is brutal.”
Insight
Huber: Children not taught to handle struggle will develop victim mentalities
“So, if you're not going to teach your kids to struggle, and have a positive attitude through the struggle, then they're not going to win at life, man. They're just not going to win at life. They're going to be soft. They're going to blame other people for thei…”
Disclosure
Huber: Careful with public statements because he is not yet uncancellable
“I definitely am careful about what I say. I'm not uncancellable yet. I know that I need to be careful. I have a small window in time to build these companies to capitalize on my personal brand. And I know that if I get canceled, it will set me back in my missi…”
Insight
Huber: Consuming business advice creates a false sense of productivity
“The problem with advice is that it's, it gives you a false sense of productivity. That's the problem. People are listening to this podcast and they're nodding along and they're thinking, wow, this podcast is making me better. And then they go home and get on Y…”
Disclosure
Huber: Public equity investments are strictly in FAANG stocks
“I have a lot of public equities, and they're all, a lot of money in public equities, and it's all fang, and it's going to stay that way, because those are the best companies in history of the world, and why would you try to reinvent the wheel?”
Insight
Huber: Immigrant families build true wealth through multi-generational sacrifice
“When we look at very successful immigrant families, they play a different game. They play a multi-generational game, and they're willing to sacrifice and delay gratification to the point where they themselves may never actually get that gratification. They're …”
Disclosure
Huber: Strong Twitter posts are loosely held beliefs
“So what you see on Twitter is me having very strong beliefs, contrarian beliefs, unique viewpoints, but honestly, they're very loosely held.”
Insight
Huber: Building a social media following requires presenting non-consensus perspectives
“The rules to the game is that if you don't have anything unique, if you don't bring a new perspective to the conversation, Nobody's going to give a shit about following you.”
Insight
Huber: Delegating and managing earns employees highest compensation
“There's two ways to make a lot of money as an employee at a company. One is to do your job really well. You can make great money that way. But if you want to get paid phenomenally well at a company, phenomenally well, get other people to do their jobs well, to…”
Insight
Huber: All trust loss in business stems from competence or moral issues
“I think all stress and problems and, you know, losses of trust are a result of one of two things. One, they're not good enough at their job. They're not working hard enough. It's a competence issue. They're just not good enough. Number two is a moral issue whe…”
Disclosure
Huber: A large portion of his tweets are created by his team
“A lot of my tweets are made by my team. They're reposts from either my newsletter or, you know, written from a interview like this or something along those lines.”
Insight
Huber: Having children improved his focus, drive, and time management
“Kids made me stronger. They made me more focused. They made me more motivated. They made me more driven. They made me more protective of my time.”
What-if
Huber: Would advise entrepreneurs against taking his high-risk first storage deal
“If somebody came to me and they were 25 years old and they were me and they had my first storage deal that I built from the ground up that changed my entire life and made me millions of dollars. If they had that sitting on a desk in front of me right now, I wo…”
Insight
Huber: The key to networking is becoming an expert first
“The way to build a network is to get really fucking good at something. Period. And end of story. As soon as you become an expert at something, and you prove to people that you know what you're doing, whether it's through making money that way, or doing somethi…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Huber: Made over $2M personally on $2.9M self-storage development
“Like the deal that we built for 2.9 million, it's worth eleven million. Now I've made over two million dollars personally on that deal.”
Insight
Huber: Discovering flaws in ultra-wealthy idols proves perfection isn't required
“And I think it's a beautiful thing about life in that you don't have to be spectacular. You don't have to be perfect to do amazing things. Like that should be inspiring. It should be inspiring that the men that are at the top of the, you know, the echelon of t…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Huber: Most tweets are personal reminders, attracting 315,000 followers
“Most of my tweets are just tweets directly to me. Like, they're reminders and advice to me. I am giving advice to myself on the internet, and it just so happens that 315,000 people have followed me because they think it applies to them as well.”