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The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Max Altman predicts climate tech startups will not produce great VC returns
“Yeah, I think we wanted to be somewhat involved with it, and there were a lot of amazing founders building in it, and they're gonna build great things, but they're not gonna get us great VC returns.”
Max Altman Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 26:02 20VC: Max Altman on The New Seed War: Can Anyone Compete with Sequoia and a16z | Leaving $2BN on the Table with Reddit | Lessons from Backing Rippling at $25M Post | Why Climate Tech is a Mirage and Disaster
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Max Altman predicts numerous $100B AI startup exits by 2033
“Like, not to be on the AI hype train, but I do think we are going to have a lot of exits Eight years from now, around the hundred billion dollar mark.”
Max Altman Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 38:21 20VC: Max Altman on The New Seed War: Can Anyone Compete with Sequoia and a16z | Leaving $2BN on the Table with Reddit | Lessons from Backing Rippling at $25M Post | Why Climate Tech is a Mirage and Disaster
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: Saga Ventures will consult anchor LPs on post-IPO share distributions
“Yeah, I believe that, and I think, yeah, moving forward, it's just gonna be call your anchor LPs and say, let's talk through how we want to handle the situation.”
Max Altman Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 22:51 20VC: Max Altman on The New Seed War: Can Anyone Compete with Sequoia and a16z | Leaving $2BN on the Table with Reddit | Lessons from Backing Rippling at $25M Post | Why Climate Tech is a Mirage and Disaster
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