why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Parker Conrad unfairly took the fall for non-ethical Zenefits mistakes
“I think there were some small mistakes made, but they were company-wide. They were under all departments, not just his. Everyone knew about it. They weren't ethical mistakes, and he sort of, you know, took the fall.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Max Altman predicts climate tech startups will not produce great VC returns
“Yeah, I think we wanted to be somewhat involved with it, and there were a lot of amazing founders building in it, and they're gonna build great things, but they're not gonna get us great VC returns.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Andreessen Horowitz led only two seed rounds for billion-dollar AI startups
“Of the first 40 of them, only one person had two lead checks, and that was Andreessen, and no one else had two, and if you look through the smattering, there are, you know, Green Oaks is in there, a lot of Gill's in there, but there's a lot of other random peo…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Max Altman predicts numerous $100B AI startup exits by 2033
“Like, not to be on the AI hype train, but I do think we are going to have a lot of exits Eight years from now, around the hundred billion dollar mark.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Max Altman says his earlier venture funds achieved 4x DPI
“I was fortunate enough to have data from the earlier funds to say, we've absolutely crushed it, and we're now at like about four X DPI. I think we can get to five or six, and we knocked it out of the park.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Altman: Capital supply grew 10x while top-tier startups only grew 2-3x
“There's now like hundreds of billions of capital chasing slightly more companies. I think the experiment we're going through right now and went through in 2020 is like, hey, if we put 10 times as much capital into the market, there better be 10 times as much g…”
Assertion Supported
Max Altman says Hydrazine Capital generated approximately 17 unicorn companies
“You know, I think we had about 17 unicorns across the fund, because it's just a small world, and everyone's coming by, so I'm like, oh, these are the founders of Instacart, or Reddit, or Rippling, or Boom, and it's like, this is the bar.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: Saga Ventures will consult anchor LPs on post-IPO share distributions
“Yeah, I believe that, and I think, yeah, moving forward, it's just gonna be call your anchor LPs and say, let's talk through how we want to handle the situation.”