The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ocko: Non-AGI can unemploy 30% of G20 workers within 10 years
“Well, first I'll say you don't need AGI to unemploy 30% of all Pink collar and white collar workers in the G-Twenty within the next 10 years.”
Matt Ocko Nov 21, 2016 ▶ 10:36 20VC: Data Collective's Matt Ocko on The Dark Side Of AI & What Happens When 3-4m People Become Unemployed Overnight
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ocko: Self-driving trucks could displace 4 million US workers
“So with self-driving trucks, they're you're talking about potentially vastly reducing, if not completely disemploying, I guess to coin a term, three or four million of the last non-college educated middle class people in the United States, and quite a large si…”
Matt Ocko Nov 21, 2016 ▶ 5:37 20VC: Data Collective's Matt Ocko on The Dark Side Of AI & What Happens When 3-4m People Become Unemployed Overnight
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ocko: Corporations will not hire AI-displaced workers with Udacity degrees
“The near-term likelihood that global corporations or even startups, whatever engine of economic growth you want to point to, are going to accept a Udacity degree from an unemployed welder or an unemployed truck driver whose job was just taken by a truck driver…”
Matt Ocko Nov 21, 2016 ▶ 9:45 20VC: Data Collective's Matt Ocko on The Dark Side Of AI & What Happens When 3-4m People Become Unemployed Overnight
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ocko: AI will vastly reduce the 10,000 hours required for mastery
“The people who are creative or have an interesting idea may find themselves lifted up by even this simpler AI so that the, you know, 10,000 hours required today to become an expert in something can be vastly reduced.”
Matt Ocko Nov 21, 2016 ▶ 13:28 20VC: Data Collective's Matt Ocko on The Dark Side Of AI & What Happens When 3-4m People Become Unemployed Overnight
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