why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ocko: Non-AGI can unemploy 30% of G20 workers within 10 years
“Well, first I'll say you don't need AGI to unemploy 30% of all Pink collar and white collar workers in the G-Twenty within the next 10 years.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ocko: Self-driving trucks could displace 4 million US workers
“So with self-driving trucks, they're you're talking about potentially vastly reducing, if not completely disemploying, I guess to coin a term, three or four million of the last non-college educated middle class people in the United States, and quite a large si…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ocko: Corporations will not hire AI-displaced workers with Udacity degrees
“The near-term likelihood that global corporations or even startups, whatever engine of economic growth you want to point to, are going to accept a Udacity degree from an unemployed welder or an unemployed truck driver whose job was just taken by a truck driver…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ocko: AI will vastly reduce the 10,000 hours required for mastery
“The people who are creative or have an interesting idea may find themselves lifted up by even this simpler AI so that the, you know, 10,000 hours required today to become an expert in something can be vastly reduced.”
Assertion Contradicted
Planet Labs is the world's second or third largest space power
“Planet Labs is delivering massive informatics advantage to its customers by virtue of having become the second or third largest space power in the world measured in satellites.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Data Collective's early portfolio targeted $2B in 2016 revenue and bookings
“In aggregate in just a couple of our early stage funds are companies have hard contracted gap bookings and or fully recognized gap revenue approaching what should be about two billion dollars in 2016.”
Assertion Supported
Three Scan maps tissue 1,000x faster than human pathologists
“So follow on, three scan, because they are transforming both drug development and medicine by delivering a three D map From the subcellular level all the way up to complete organ systems a thousand times faster and with essentially infinitely greater accuracy …”
Assertion Contradicted
Tradeshift serves 1M businesses, dwarfing competitor Ariba's footprint
“They have almost a million discrete companies in a 140 countries worldwide from tiny companies in China up to a huge chunk of the fortune 100 addicted to their stuff. And they dwarf the footprint of Ariba and any other, you know, would be competitor.”