why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Matt Harris: Refusing rule-breaking founders sacrifices venture upside
“If we only back founders who are unwilling to break rules, then I think we're giving away a lot of the upside of our industry.”
Insight
Harris: Entry valuation matters little if Series A ownership hits 18%-25%
“If you own 20%, 25%, 18%, something meaningful of a company that ends up being important, then it doesn't really matter whether your entry price was 20 posts or 40 posts.”
Disclosure
Bain Capital Ventures pauses deals receiving unanimous partner votes
“We have a rule internally that if everybody votes for a deal, we need to pause and rethink it.”
Disclosure
Matt Harris: Fear of macro cycles has cost me a lot of money
“My deep and abiding fear and recognition of the cyclicality of finance and the cyclicality of technology has actually cost me a lot of money.”
Disclosure
Harris: Bain Capital Ventures no longer co-leads Series A rounds
“Where we end up having to somewhat frustratingly draw a hard line is we generally don't co-lead Series A's anymore.”
Opinion
Bain Capital: Market size is not the top Series A criteria
“We do talk about market size, but we surely don't think it's the most important thing at a Series A.”
Opinion
Harris: VC Diversity Requires 50/50 Junior Hiring Plus Senior Lateral Hires
“At the lower ranks of our firms, we need to bring in the correct balance, correct being fifty-fifty at a minimum of men and women, and minorities should be added to this question as well, and we also need to lateral in senior investing talent at the same time.…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2024
Harris: Software platforms' share of total payment spend will reach 80%
“To our earlier conversation, it's about eight percent of all payment spend goes through software companies. But our view is that that eight is going to 80.”
Prediction Not publicly verifiable
Matt Harris: Bain Capital Ventures targets $300M–$400M annual deployment
“Our goal has been to invest three or four hundred million dollars a year. Again, we do both venture and growth equity, so that seems like a lot of money, but many of those are large checks and later stage companies. Fully half of it is your classic five to twe…”
Insight
Harris: Early-Career VCs Should Reject Generic Networking For Deep Differentiation
“I wish back then I'd said, More no to social obligations and these sort of vast generic horizontal obligations that we all take on, thinking that's what a venture capitalist should do, and instead focused on one or two things that really differentiate me.”
Assertion Supported
Matt Harris: Fintech grew to 10%–20% of all venture capital
“Fintech became 10 or 15% of the venture business, 20% some years.”
Assertion Supported
Harris: Series A post-money valuations doubled over five years
“What we would now have come to believe is a reasonable post-money range for Series A, so kind of 30 to 60, which is important in light of the fact that if you go back five years, that range would have been kind of 15 to 30.”