The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Fitzpatrick: Enterprise AI deployment will take a decade, not two years
“I think that whole process is in the first inning in the enterprise. I think it's going to take a decade, not two years.”
Matt Fitzpatrick Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 8:10 Matt Fitzpatrick: Who Wins the Data Labelling Race & Why Al Needs Forward-Deployed Engineers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Fitzpatrick: Software industry will shift from standardized SaaS to hyper-personalized AI
“That is my view on where, where this whole industry goes, is you move from SaaS, out-of-the-box SaaS, to much more hyper-personalization using the specific data of an individual customer”
Matt Fitzpatrick Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 19:56 Matt Fitzpatrick: Who Wins the Data Labelling Race & Why Al Needs Forward-Deployed Engineers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Fitzpatrick: Human feedback in AI training will remain essential for 10 years
“For a multi-stage reasoning test that requires a PhD in multi-different languages, and, like, human feedback is going to be important in that for the next decade.”
Matt Fitzpatrick Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 34:22 Matt Fitzpatrick: Who Wins the Data Labelling Race & Why Al Needs Forward-Deployed Engineers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Fitzpatrick: Recent college graduates are the highest adopters of AI tools
“I actually find a lot of the people coming out of college right now are some of the highest adopters of this and the most useful for these kind of tools, and so we're hiring more and more people of that profile, not less.”
Matt Fitzpatrick Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 46:26 Matt Fitzpatrick: Who Wins the Data Labelling Race & Why Al Needs Forward-Deployed Engineers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Fitzpatrick: Robotics will take longer and require task-specific rather than broad-based systems
“I think robotics is another one that will take longer, but will be really interesting when it works. But by the way, I think even in that case, you'll need more task specific robotics, not just broad based.”
Matt Fitzpatrick Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 59:36 Matt Fitzpatrick: Who Wins the Data Labelling Race & Why Al Needs Forward-Deployed Engineers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Fitzpatrick: AI-native physical-world service companies will be highly disruptive
“Some of the most interesting new businesses are actual businesses using AI in the physical world that are AI native and that will be highly disruptive.”
Matt Fitzpatrick Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 1:20:00 Matt Fitzpatrick: Who Wins the Data Labelling Race & Why Al Needs Forward-Deployed Engineers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Fitzpatrick: CFOs will enforce strict ROI guardrails on AI within two years
“I think over the next two years you're going to see the CFO function put different guardrails on how this stuff is built and say, what is the ROI?”
Matt Fitzpatrick Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 12:40 Matt Fitzpatrick: Who Wins the Data Labelling Race & Why Al Needs Forward-Deployed Engineers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Fitzpatrick: AI training will move into banking and healthcare next
“I actually think AI training will be used next in banking and healthcare, and then after that in, in many other different enterprise contexts.”
Matt Fitzpatrick Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 28:53 Matt Fitzpatrick: Who Wins the Data Labelling Race & Why Al Needs Forward-Deployed Engineers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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