The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Carney: Recent Regional Banking Failures Put a Silver Bullet Into Stablecoins
“I think this probably puts a, you know, a silver bullet into stable coins.”
Mark Carney May 1, 2023 ▶ 31:30 Mark Carney: First Republic Bank Fails; Will Interest Rates Rise? Global Warming's Net Zero | E1008 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Carney: Banking turmoil will slow US growth and trigger a recession
“Let's say in the US, it'll probably slow growth by, you know, half to three quarters of a percentage point. It's probably enough if people felt that the US economy was on the cusp of you know, this narrow path between avoiding recession and having a recession.…”
Mark Carney May 1, 2023 ▶ 25:49 Mark Carney: First Republic Bank Fails; Will Interest Rates Rise? Global Warming's Net Zero | E1008 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Carney: US Clean Energy Investment Will Overtake Europe Within Years
“They have the U S in the, in this space of the time, since we last spoke has gone from well behind Europe, the UK, amongst the major industrialized countries in addressing climate change to putting in place, you know, the measures now driving with the investme…”
Mark Carney May 1, 2023 ▶ 40:41 Mark Carney: First Republic Bank Fails; Will Interest Rates Rise? Global Warming's Net Zero | E1008 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Carney: Prolonged High Interest Rates Will Force Regional Bank Consolidation
“The longer higher rates go on and the more deposits move to perceived safer places, we're going to see more at a minimum, I'll put it politely. We're going to see more consolidation in that sector.”
Mark Carney May 1, 2023 ▶ 8:53 Mark Carney: First Republic Bank Fails; Will Interest Rates Rise? Global Warming's Net Zero | E1008 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Carney: Bank funding will shift to wholesale, becoming more volatile
“I do think what this does lead to though, is the system moving more towards wholesale finance, narrow banking in different pockets, and that the funding of banks Will over time become more wholesale, less retail, more volatile, more credit differentiation.”
Mark Carney May 1, 2023 ▶ 33:23 Mark Carney: First Republic Bank Fails; Will Interest Rates Rise? Global Warming's Net Zero | E1008 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Carney: Payments account for about 8% of bank balance sheets
“About eight percent, depends on jurisdiction, but about eight percent of a bank's balance sheet is payments”
Mark Carney Jan 10, 2022 ▶ 21:23 20VC: Former Governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney on Why "Only the Niche Will Survive" in Crypto, How Governments and Central Banks Retain Control in a World of Decentralised Finance & The Winners and Losers in Crypto Exchanges and NFTs
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,200 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.