why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Carney: Recent Regional Banking Failures Put a Silver Bullet Into Stablecoins
“I think this probably puts a, you know, a silver bullet into stable coins.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Carney: Banking turmoil will slow US growth and trigger a recession
“Let's say in the US, it'll probably slow growth by, you know, half to three quarters of a percentage point. It's probably enough if people felt that the US economy was on the cusp of you know, this narrow path between avoiding recession and having a recession.…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Carney: US Clean Energy Investment Will Overtake Europe Within Years
“They have the U S in the, in this space of the time, since we last spoke has gone from well behind Europe, the UK, amongst the major industrialized countries in addressing climate change to putting in place, you know, the measures now driving with the investme…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Carney: Prolonged High Interest Rates Will Force Regional Bank Consolidation
“The longer higher rates go on and the more deposits move to perceived safer places, we're going to see more at a minimum, I'll put it politely. We're going to see more consolidation in that sector.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Carney: Bank funding will shift to wholesale, becoming more volatile
“I do think what this does lead to though, is the system moving more towards wholesale finance, narrow banking in different pockets, and that the funding of banks Will over time become more wholesale, less retail, more volatile, more credit differentiation.”
Assertion Contradicted
Carney: Payments account for about 8% of bank balance sheets
“About eight percent, depends on jurisdiction, but about eight percent of a bank's balance sheet is payments”