The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Kumar: Coined the term pre-seed around 2013 as seed rounds grew
“I actually kind of coined the pre-seed term at one point in, I think in 2013, 2014 because I saw the seed market kind of evolving where it was becoming a two million to three million dollar round, and I was like, wait, these things are changing, and so there h…”
Manu Kumar May 23, 2016 ▶ 9:06 20VC: K9's Manu Kumar on His Approach To Risk, Valuation & Believing What Other People Don't
Assertion Supported
Kumar: Mid-2000s Sand Hill Road VCs avoided tech risk and operational backgrounds
“Most of the funds were trying to do investments that were three to four million dollars. They were not taking technology risk. A lot of the new people on Sand Hill at that time were not coming from a startup or an operating background.”
Manu Kumar May 23, 2016 ▶ 4:26 20VC: K9's Manu Kumar on His Approach To Risk, Valuation & Believing What Other People Don't
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kumar: Startup value creation has shifted primarily to private markets
“If you look at the new venture landscape, the value creation has really shifted to private markets. Companies add more value while they are still private than sometimes, and they do even after they've gone public.”
Manu Kumar Mar 23, 2020 ▶ 5:13 20VC: Multi-Stage Funds Investing At Seed Are Option Value Investing, Why The Biggest Enemy For Venture Firms Is Group Think and How Running Companies Changes Your Investment Mentality with Manu Kumar, Founder @ K9 Ventures
Assertion Partly supported
Kumar: K9 Ventures operates on a five-year fund cycle
“First my investment period is five years. So I only go out to market with a new fund every five years and not every two to three years.”
Manu Kumar Mar 23, 2020 ▶ 11:24 20VC: Multi-Stage Funds Investing At Seed Are Option Value Investing, Why The Biggest Enemy For Venture Firms Is Group Think and How Running Companies Changes Your Investment Mentality with Manu Kumar, Founder @ K9 Ventures
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kumar: K9 Ventures will not raise valuations to chase competitive deals
“I have absolutely zero fear of missing out, and so if there's a company that is got multiple term sheets or offers even at the pre-seed stage and stuff like, I'm not going to be Chasing that deal and trying to move up in valuation in order to win that deal.”
Manu Kumar Mar 23, 2020 ▶ 12:37 20VC: Multi-Stage Funds Investing At Seed Are Option Value Investing, Why The Biggest Enemy For Venture Firms Is Group Think and How Running Companies Changes Your Investment Mentality with Manu Kumar, Founder @ K9 Ventures
Prediction Held up
Kumar caps K9 Ventures at three to four investments annually
“So if I'm only making three or four new investments in a year, it's an incredibly tight filter to begin with.”
Manu Kumar Mar 23, 2020 ▶ 14:52 20VC: Multi-Stage Funds Investing At Seed Are Option Value Investing, Why The Biggest Enemy For Venture Firms Is Group Think and How Running Companies Changes Your Investment Mentality with Manu Kumar, Founder @ K9 Ventures
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2046
Kumar: K9 Ventures is operating on a 30-year horizon
“I think when I got into it with a thirty-year timeline.”
Manu Kumar May 23, 2016 ▶ 19:13 20VC: K9's Manu Kumar on His Approach To Risk, Valuation & Believing What Other People Don't
Assertion Supported
Kumar: Seed rounds grew from $500K in 2009 to $3M by 2020
“At that time, a seed round was 500,000 dollars. Today, a seed round is two to three million dollars, if not more.”
Manu Kumar Mar 23, 2020 ▶ 5:53 20VC: Multi-Stage Funds Investing At Seed Are Option Value Investing, Why The Biggest Enemy For Venture Firms Is Group Think and How Running Companies Changes Your Investment Mentality with Manu Kumar, Founder @ K9 Ventures
Prediction Held up
Kumar: K9 invests $400k-$500k initially and up to $4M per startup
“So my sweet spot is usually around 400 to 500,000 as an initial investment. But then I will go as high as about four million dollars into each company. So I do, I'll do 400 to 500,000 into the pre-seed. I might do 750 or a million into the seed, and then anoth…”
Manu Kumar May 23, 2016 ▶ 10:39 20VC: K9's Manu Kumar on His Approach To Risk, Valuation & Believing What Other People Don't
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