why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Recent crypto fund vintages will produce a high number of zeros
“I think we're going to see a lot of zeros pop out of the vintages of these crypto funds that we've seen recently.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Newer crossover funds that scaled rapidly face an imminent market reckoning
“Anyone that either doesn't have their existing track record of the last, whatever, 10 years attached to the name of their existing firm, or anyone that scaled well beyond what they had, you know, in the prior five years, in the last two years, I think anyone t…”
Assertion Supported
Private growth deals hit 300x ARR while public markets peaked at 20x
“We were this summer seeing businesses get done at 200 times, 300 times ARR. When the public markets were saying like at best you could trade at, I don't know, 20 times forward revenue or something.”
Prediction Held up
Bartlett predicts the tech IPO drought will end by late 2016
“I'm optimistic over the course of the next six months or so this drought that we've had over the last quarter in companies going public. I think we're going to see that short itself up,”
Assertion Supported
High past valuations stall Series B through Series D deal flow
“There aren't a ton of deals getting done right now. That's the Series C, Series D, maybe a little Series B stage. And so what you are seeing is there's a dearth of opportunities that even exist right now because those companies have raised so much capital and …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bartlett: Just 10 deals drive 97% of annual venture capital returns
“At the end of the day, 2000 companies in a given year will get funded from venture investors and 200 of those will probably be done by firms that, that We would consider peers of ours and quality investors. And at the end of the day, 10, 10 of those will drive…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Redpoint partners must build distinct individual brands to stand out
“I think it means that each individual at red point has to stand for something and be known in some way, shape, or form for what it is that they do to help rise above the noise.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Every venture capitalist lost price sensitivity during the 2021 market peak
“Anyone that invested last year lost some level of price sensitivity.”