why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Deming: Longevity is counterintuitively the least risky sector in biology
“I literally thought it was the least risky, most likely to work part of biology in general, particularly the part of biology that would be easy to test in humans, and that's very counterintuitive to most people.”
Insight
Deming: Biotech VC is constrained by founder talent, not funding
“And so I think the fascinating thing is, you know, I always assumed from the outside that biotech venture capital was really limited by dollars, and I think it used to be, but I think the fascinating fact is now it's all about talent, and just, you know, we're…”
Insight
Deming: Biotech value stems from founder-driven decisions, not initial thesis
“And I think, you know, maybe sometimes focusing on the thesis of an investment can blind you to the fact that most of the value in biotech comes from the eventual trajectory of the company that's unpredictable at the start. And that trajectory is absolutely di…”
Assertion Supported
Deming: Biotech VC funding doubled while new startup creation remained flat
“I think one of the founding into biotech venture capital has doubled over the past couple years, and that's a huge fact, but the number of companies started to stay fairly stable”
Disclosure
Deming: All Longevity Fund portfolio companies target multi-disease pathways
“All the companies that we invest in have drugs that have worked not just in kind of mouse models of Alzheimer's typically, but also diabetes and heart disease, and kind of typically the pathways that we invest in have been tested in and work in almost every Ag…”
Opinion
Deming: VC value creation is limited by rigid fund structure norms
“I think the diversity of fun types. I think we've been artificially constrained by a perception that it's hard to raise a new structure of fun because LPs just kind of, like, amorphously won't like it. I think that's really cut down on the value to be created …”
Assertion Supported
Laura Deming: Three decades of research prove aging is genetically malleable
“There was really very little work on aging and longevity, but the past three decades have resulted in massive advances. So we now know that it's possible to genetically control aging, that aging is malleable.”
Opinion
Deming: Internal biotech studio builds yield higher equity and easier LP pitches
“I mean, I think it's a great strategy. It's great for the VCs for certain parameters. I think the likelihood of success is slightly higher. The equity stakes are definitely higher, and there's a better pitch to LPs in the short term.”
Insight
Laura Deming: Raising a first VC fund is like a seed round
“But I think the process for raising your first fund is a lot more like raising a seed round for a company than it is like any kind of mature venture fundraising process I've seen.”
Disclosure
Laura Deming: The Longevity Fund pitched Unity Biotechnology to secure early LPs
“We had just found one of the first companies that we ever invested in, Unity Biotechnology, and we were really, really excited about them. And so I actually used that as the first Deal that I discussed with LPs.”