The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Summers: US tax gap will reach $8 trillion over next decade
“We have a gap between taxes that are owed, that everybody agrees are owed under the current law, and taxes actually collected that will total eight trillion dollars over the next 10 years.”
Larry Summers Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 15:28 Larry Summers: How the Fed screwed up; What a Trump win would do to the economy | E1024 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Summers: Annual births in China dropped by half in six years
“And the number of babies born in China has fallen by just about half in the last six years.”
Larry Summers Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 33:47 Larry Summers: How the Fed screwed up; What a Trump win would do to the economy | E1024 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Summers: Fed interest rates do not need to reach Volcker-era levels
“There's nothing in the current situation that says to me that we need to get rates anywhere near where Volcker took them.”
Larry Summers Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 10:18 Larry Summers: How the Fed screwed up; What a Trump win would do to the economy | E1024 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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