The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Samani: Donald Trump will be in jail before the 2024 election
“My assumption is he will be in jail before the election, so I don't know if you can.”
Samani: Ethereum will not have a scaling plan in 12 months
“Ethereum does not have a scaling plan seven years later. It still does not have one today. I do not think they will have one in the next 12 months.”
Samani: Excluding customers from equity will be viewed as a regulatory bug
“The fact that norms today around business are those parties typically have no equity ownership. I think we'll be looked upon, I think in 20 years we'll be looked back as a bug of capital markets regulation, not as a feature.”
Samani: Multicoin only invests if intended hold horizon is forever
“It doesn't for us and the reason it doesn't is we have some basic thresholds for making investments, and one of those thresholds is we will only make an investment if our intended hold horizon at the time of investment is forever. That doesn't mean we can't se…”
Samani: DeFi rails will eventually replace traditional regulated payment infrastructure
“DeFi payment rails are Objectively better than traditional rails. And you will see economic activity move off of traditional regulated rails to defy rails over time. That will take a while but it will happen.”
Samani: Every smartphone will have a built-in private key within ten years
“I want everyone in the world to have a private key built into their phone that is secure and that they can use for arbitrary financial movements, whether those are payments or investments and that they can do so across any application. And I have a high degree…”