The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Basecamp will not pursue growth at the expense of profitability
“I don't want to be bigger and have much lower margins. I don't want to be bigger and lose money per customer. I don't want to be bigger and have to take a bunch of money to support that growth.”
Jason Fried Jan 6, 2023 ▶ 11:26 Basecamp CEO Jason Fried: We Banned Talking Politics and 1/3 of our Team Quit | 20VC #963 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2033
Jason Fried predicts he will leave Basecamp within ten years
“I'm certain I'm not here in 10 years but I don't know where I will be.”
Jason Fried Jan 6, 2023 ▶ 51:38 Basecamp CEO Jason Fried: We Banned Talking Politics and 1/3 of our Team Quit | 20VC #963 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2028
Jason Fried vows to never start another company that has employees
“I'm certain actually not don't think I would never start another company with employees. I don't want to feel what I don't want to feel anymore is responsible for anybody else.”
Jason Fried Jan 6, 2023 ▶ 52:29 Basecamp CEO Jason Fried: We Banned Talking Politics and 1/3 of our Team Quit | 20VC #963 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Unprofitable SaaS companies face deep cuts as venture funding dries up
“If a company can't make its own money, they require outside money. Outside money dries up. Things have to change. I mean, there's gonna have to be late. There already is. It's not like this is news, but layoffs, deep cuts, some austerity measures. You know, th…”
Jason Fried Jan 6, 2023 ▶ 6:56 Basecamp CEO Jason Fried: We Banned Talking Politics and 1/3 of our Team Quit | 20VC #963 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Fried pledges never to make bet-the-company decisions
“I don't do anything that could end me. I would never bet the company on something. I would never Bet the farm on something.”
Jason Fried Mar 22, 2021 ▶ 10:47 20VC: Basecamp CEO Jason Fried on His Relationship To Risk, Money, Vulnerability and Self-Doubt, Fantasising About Being Fired, How To Optimise Decision-Making and Minimising Regret
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