The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
A Major Enterprise Will Suffer a Damaging AI Agent Failure
“In fact, likely that some big enterprise is going to deploy an agent and the agent's going to do something really bad”
Jake Saper Mar 10, 2025 ▶ 1:03:17 Jake Saper, GP @ Emergence Capital: "We Sold Salesforce Early and Lost Out on Billions" · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Saper: Private equity will consolidate most legacy website builders
“I think there will be consolidation, there will be private equity, and there will be a few that reinvent themselves. There will be a few that are nimble enough to figure out how to adapt to the new era, but I think most will get consolidated.”
Jake Saper Mar 10, 2025 ▶ 13:34 Jake Saper, GP @ Emergence Capital: "We Sold Salesforce Early and Lost Out on Billions" · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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