The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2031
Jake Paul: Anti Fund Aims to Manage $10B to $20B Eventually
“Yeah, I think if the 30 mil fund was, like, the end goal, it would be like, no, but, like, we want to run 10, twenty billion dollars at some point, and look up to people like, you know, Josh Kushner at Thrive, who started with, you know, I think it was four, f…”
Jake Paul Apr 18, 2026 ▶ 9:34 Jake Paul: Traditional VC is Toast & Attention is More Valuable than Cash · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jake Paul States Conditions Under Which He Would Run for U.S. President
“I would only want to do it if I was, A, the best person for the job, and if, B, there was, like, someone like Kamala Harris, like, running that, like, could have the potential to, like, ruin the United States, and I would have to, like, go and oppose them and,…”
Jake Paul Apr 18, 2026 ▶ 36:22 Jake Paul: Traditional VC is Toast & Attention is More Valuable than Cash · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jake Paul: AI-Personalized Content Could Divert Viewers Away From Traditional Sports
“If I can put into Cognition, or any of these things, and develop my own game that's personally tailored for me with a couple clicks of a button. Why would I watch, you know, the NBA when, like, this game I made for myself has all my favorite things in it, and …”
Jake Paul Apr 18, 2026 ▶ 26:06 Jake Paul: Traditional VC is Toast & Attention is More Valuable than Cash · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jake Paul: Anduril's Autonomous Technology Will Reduce Human Casualties
“Yeah, maybe less people will actually die because of their technology.”
Jake Paul Apr 18, 2026 ▶ 41:58 Jake Paul: Traditional VC is Toast & Attention is More Valuable than Cash · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jake Paul: Only a Conor McGregor Fight Could Rival Mike Tyson Numbers
“I think that the one that, like, would just be the only one that would ever come close to the Tyson numbers is, is me versus McGregor, which would be fun.”
Jake Paul Apr 18, 2026 ▶ 50:33 Jake Paul: Traditional VC is Toast & Attention is More Valuable than Cash · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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