why aren't all 36 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Ilir Sela: 'Hire great people and get out of the way' is bullshit advice
“It's complete bullshit. I mean, I used to feel like, okay, hire great people, get out of the way, and I've done that. I've done that many times, and every time I've done that, things have failed.”
Assertion Supported
Ilir Sela turned down an $18 million acquisition offer for MyPizza
“I had just gotten my first acquisition offer. You know, the offer to sell the company for eighteen million dollars would have been awesome. Sole owner. No debt. Eighteen million dollars would have been great. And I turned it down.”
Insight
Sela: Single-niche software startups face instant TAM skepticism during growth slowdowns
“And so because of our very clear focus on one segment, pizza shops, Any moment where Slice's performance hasn't been best in class, immediately the assumption is you're TAM constrained.”
Opinion
Sela: Series B founders cannot step back while still figuring out product and GTM
“This is a series B company that's still figuring out what exactly is the go to, what are the go to market motions? What is the product? We are hiring people like crazy. Like, I don't think you can get out of the way at that point.”
Opinion
Sela: Horizontal software like Owner.com cannot successfully vertically integrate across restaurant types
“A restaurant that sells a different product and maybe has table service is a very different business than a pizza shop, which is a very different business than a coffee shop. Now, They may all have the similar need of commerce, which is what a company like own…”
Insight
Sela: Luck and timing do not exist, success is mostly hard work
“I don't know that luck and timing really exist. It's really mostly hard work.”
Insight
Sela: Slice raised venture capital to recruit talent, not for money
“One of the reasons why I ended up raising money was because that was the way to get them involved in the business. And so that's really how my bootstrap company became venture backed. It was almost like not for that purpose as a primary reason. It was to get t…”
Opinion
Sela: Running a company by consensus is a terrible management strategy
“I used to really try to run companies the company with consensus, right? It was like, go into these exec meetings and say, okay, what do you think? And what do you think? And everyone had a say, and we had to like all get on the same page eventually. And it wo…”
Insight
Sela: Global companies should embrace geographic silos rather than prevent them
“What I've learned is I think it's probably more important to just embrace the silos. I don't think you can prevent them because every single geography, every single region has its own cultural dynamics.”
Insight
Sela: Driving local business growth requires moving phone buyers to digital
“And so to me, more sales for SMBs meant how do I increase the customer lifetime value of the existing customers? And the way to do that is to move them from the phone channel to the digital channel.”
Assertion Supported
Slice charges pizzerias seven to eight percent of generated revenue
“You know, all in all, Slices products cost about seven or eight percent of the revenue that we create for the merchant.”
Assertion Supported
Ilir Sela: Pizzerias thrive during recessions as consumers trade down
“In recessions, in fact, consumers will tend to turn their nights out in, and instead of going out to a restaurant, they'll order pizza at home, and they'll have a family pizza night. Pizzerias thrive, especially in the most challenging times, and this was also…”
Insight
Sela: Capital constraints yield hard-to-replicate operational advantages
“Capital constraints create some Incredible solutions that are very hard to replicate by other companies who may not have the same constraints.”
Assertion Supported
Slice employs roughly 650 people in Macedonia
“Today we have about 650 people in Macedonia. We're one of the largest employers in the country.”
Assertion Supported
Slice operated with only one engineer for five years
“I mean, I had one engineer his name is Sam Kennedy. He's incredible. He's the only engineer and product person and tech person. He's the only tech person we had in the company for five years.”
Insight
Ilir Sela: Company growth is a collection of mini pivots, not one major shift
“A company's growth trajectory Is a collection of mini pivots. I call them like you don't have to make this huge company pivot, but every decision tree is a little pivot, right?”
Insight
Sela: Executives have only communicated enough when nauseous from repeating themselves
“A mentor of mine once said, if you're not feeling nauseous, Because you're communicating the same thing over and over that you just feel like, you know, why am I saying this again? Do it one more time. That's how you know that you've communicated enough.”
Insight
Sela: Leaders must explain decisions five steps ahead to enable autonomous choices
“I think it's very rare that people clearly communicate the why, because the why is very, very important. Not just the decision we're making, but why are we making that decision? And how can we articulate that? Not just a step ahead, but like five steps ahead. …”
Insight
Sela: Eliminating software tools prevents internal communication fragmentation
“I'm a big fan of like eliminating tools versus introducing more and more tools. Cause then what happens is things become fragmented that no one knows what should I slack versus what should I email, but what should I present via video?”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sela: Small business failure rates will stay high without end-to-end ecosystems
“Until someone figures out how to build an end-to-end sort of ecosystem that changes the disadvantage that an independent has by being independent, I think small businesses, the failure rate will continue to remain high.”
Insight
Micro business owners struggle to adopt multiple software products simultaneously
“I've found it very challenging to have small business owners, especially these like micro business owners, To adopt more than one product at a time.”
Disclosure
Slice earns $100,000 net revenue from a $1.5M GMV New Jersey pizzeria
“There's a shop in New Jersey that is managing over a million and a half dollars a year through the Slice platform. For that merchant, our revenue is about a 100,000 dollars a year, net to Slice.”
Assertion Supported
Sela: Domino's averages $1.2M annually per store, driven by digital volume
“The average Domino's location does about 1.2 million in revenue and sales per year in the US. The Delta of 700,000 is primarily online digital volume. Their phone volume is actually identical.”
Assertion Supported
Sela: Slice gives partner pizzerias full transparency into customer data
“While slice has access to the customer data, all the customer data is completely transparent to every merchant. We're not an intermediary. We're not a third party. So all the customer data, we have an owner's app. Every pizza shop knows exactly who the custome…”
Opinion
Sela: Ben Sun of Primary will rigorously challenge founders in board meetings
“This is a very smart, poised, great person who you can have the best night out with, but He will challenge the fuck out of you the next day at the board meeting.”
Disclosure
Sela: Slice created illusion of scale using only two leased cars
“And the best way to do that in a very hyper local way was to buy cars. I leased them, put my brand on these cars, but I can send you the picture if you want to tweet it when the episode comes out, but put the brand on these cars. And then I would park them in …”
Insight
Sela: Hyper-local business owners care only about their three-mile radius
“And when the customer is hyper local, you know, this pizzeria owner doesn't know what's going on in San Francisco. They just know what's going on in their three mile radius.”
Insight
Ilir Sela: Founders should balance investor boards with operators early
“Pretty early on, you've got to also go and balance the board of investors with operators, because sometimes the conversation can become really very financial. It becomes very investor centric as a board conversation versus company centric. And a board is reall…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sela: Slice is deliberately constraining focus to pizzerias before category expansion
“I think that our model has the right to win in many categories, but we are deliberately continuing to constrain our focus so that we can be the best in class partner for these independents.”
Insight
Ilir Sela: Small business ownership is lonely due to endless unexpected problems
“The biggest takeaway is that building a small business is an incredibly lonely journey. It's lonely because you kind of start off this business trying to solve one problem, and then you inherit an infinite amount of other problems that you suddenly have to be …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Slice reached $250,000 in monthly profit during its 2015 bootstrapping phase
“When I was bootstrapping the company in 2015, I want to say February of 2015. I look at my spreadsheet. One day I was tracking my company on an Excel sheet, not even on QuickBooks. And in one month we profited about 250,000 dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Slice had 3,000 restaurant partner locations when bootstrapped in 2015
“We're working with about 3000 locations.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sela: US independent pizzerias average $550,000 in annual offline sales
“The average independent pizza shop in the US has total sales of about 550,000 per year. And most of that is phone based. Most of that is either phone or walk in. It's offline.”
Assertion Partly supported
Ilir Sela: US pizza market was $35B across 60k shops at Slice's launch
“At the time that I launched the pizza industry in the US was a thirty five billion dollar industry. That was the revenue that was passing through at the time about 60,000 pizza shops. And two thirds of that was independent.”
Assertion Supported
Sela: US pizza industry grew to $47B with 4,800 net new independent shops in 2022
“Forty seven billion dollars of revenue passed us through about 80,000 pizza shops. The fastest growing segment are independents. 4800 new locations opened up, net new locations opened up last year in the US.”
Opinion
Ilir Sela: L&B Spumoni Gardens offers the best pizza moment
“There's a pizza shop called L&B Spumoni Gardens in Bensonhurst, Brooklyn. And you can go there, and they make this what's what's called an upside-down pizza, which is predominantly sauce. There's cheese underneath the sauce, and it's like a little bit thick. T…”