why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Walk: Overcapitalized startups face silent disappearance, low-value acquihires, or noisy collapse
“And so I think for most of those companies, layoffs are going to turn into silent disappearance low value acquihires or noisy collapses.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Walk: Downturn will worsen for Series A-D startups lacking investability
“I think it'll get worse for series A through D companies that can't remain, you know, sort of like default investable.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Walk: Venture slowdown will benefit early product-market fit startups
“And so in some ways, I think part of our portfolio that's really going to benefit from the slowdown Are the early product market fit, you know, companies that now have some capital in the bank, but don't have to, aren't getting the crossover investors, pitchin…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Walk: Homebrew will cap at five or six funds, avoiding intergenerational scale
“We want to stay focused on early stage companies that we can put not just capital, but time behind. So it means a relatively concentrated investment philosophy. And, you know, we want our legacy to be the companies that we worked with over five or six funds, n…”
Prediction Partly held up
Hunter Walk: Homebrew targets making six to nine seed investments annually
“So long as we're making a set of six, seven, eight, nine investments each year that will ultimately turn into some number of meaningful, viable, transformative businesses.”
Prediction Held up
Homebrew plans to raise Fund III in 2018 based on track record
“We Are going to be in that period coming into fund three in 2018, where we want to start being able to raise our funds off of how homebrew is doing and not just our reputation or what we were able to do before homebrew.”