The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Edwin Chen says he wouldn't sell Surge for $100 billion
“No, I mean, I definitely wouldn't sell for thirty billion or even a hundred billion.”
Chen expects top future AI model developers to emerge within years
“Don't think so yet. I can actually see big, new, even more powerful model developers appearing in the next few years.”
Edwin Chen: Single-person $1B companies will exist due to AI
“I mean, I absolutely believe that that company was this one day. Like you think about it, like I've always believed in 10 X engineers, even a hundred X engineers. And already you have a lot of these single person startups that are already doing ten million rev…”
Edwin Chen: AI Will Automate Average Engineers by 2028, Cure Cancer by 2038
“So I think it would be twenty-twenty-eight if you're talking about automating a job at the average engineer, and then twenty-thirty-eight if we're talking about curing cancer.”
Chen predicts future will feature multiple competing frontier AGI companies
“How I see a world where there actually will be multiple, multiple, Frontier AI companies, Frontier AGIs, just because every one of them will be able to go in a different direction. Like, you see it already, you see it today playing out already with the differe…”