why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Partly held up
Ed Sim: Tech M&A volume will increase as investors seek liquidity
“I think we're going to see a lot more M and A's kind of coming ahead right now.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sim: Snyk took nearly three years to reach $1M in ARR
“It took him two and a half years to kind of get out there and get his first, you know, two and a half to three to get his first million of ARR.”
Prediction Partly held up
Ed Sim: Tech IPO window won't reopen until Fed cuts interest rates
“I think it's very simple. Mr. Jerome Powell signaling to the world that interest rates are under control now. And the air has been taken out of the balloon and the interest rates have to go down.”
Prediction Partly held up
Sim: Software net dollar retention will normalize to 110% to 115%
“From there, you know, this new cohort of customers, I think that retention is going to get back to a place where it's more like one, 10. So that can be one, 31, 40, but maybe healthy numbers like one, 10, one, 15.”
Prediction Partly held up
Sim: Microsoft's AI leadership will drive cloud market share and H2 revenue
“Because of their lead on everything AI that they're taking market share on the cloud side. So I think that that's going to drive a lot of their business. And I'm hoping that by the back half of the year, you know, you start seeing some of the revenue numbers r…”
Assertion Partly supported
Sim: Boldstart funded Snyk through three pre-Series A capital rounds
“You know, guy from sneak, Harry, do you know how many rounds he raised before? He raised his A three rounds of capital before his A. Guess who gave him all three rounds?”
Assertion Partly supported
Ed Sim: Only 25% of cloud migration is complete
“We're still only 25% of the way of migration from on-prem to Cloud right now”
Assertion Partly supported
Sim: Meta's acquisition of Kustomer took 16 months due to antitrust regulations
“I sat through the customer thing. It took us 16 months from signing to sell to Meta because of antitrust regulations, right?”
Assertion Partly supported
LivePerson spent $20M of its $30M raised building proprietary infrastructure
“A company like LivePerson, we probably raised, you know, over thirty million dollars in about 12 months. And 20 of that went to build our infrastructure because we wanted to build for success, and you needed to build a platform that could scale.”
Assertion Partly supported
Micro-VC funds grew from nearly zero in 2010 to 400 by 2015
“When I started this in 2010, I think one of the only micro VCs was Jeff Clavier, soft tech. ... Since that time, I think there's 350 or 400 now, quote unquote, micro VCs.”