why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Silicon Valley will lose its tech monopoly by 2029, predicts Dylan Field
“I think the dirty secret of Silicon Valley is that no one in Silicon Valley thinks that Silicon Valley is going to be what it is today in 10 years. And so, I think we're in this period of change right now where more and more companies are coming up across the …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dylan Field: Figma aims to own the complete design lifecycle by 2030
“I think that there's an opportunity for us to totally own and support the design process and life cycle. So everything from idea to mock-up to research and consolidation to prototyping all the way production.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Adobe killing Fireworks drove Sketch's early success, says Figma CEO
“At the time, there were not many competitors out there that were interesting. I think Sketch, it was launched at the time, but not many people were using it. Really, fireworks being killed was what put the wind and sketches sales.”
Prediction Held up
Dylan Field: Figma will permanently support remote work long term
“For Figma, internally, pre-COVID, we were entirely in person, and now we're supporting remote work, of course, just like, you know, everyone else does, but also we're permanently doing that long term.”
Assertion Supported
IBM's engineer-to-designer ratio dropped from 72:1 to 8:1 in five years
“For IBM, for example, we saw a shift from 72 engineers to every one designer in 2012. Again, 72 engineers to every one designer. And then in 2017, five years later, they were at eight engineers to every one designer across the company. And on mobile, they were…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dylan Field: Figma spent two to three years recruiting its design director
“Our director of design, Noah, I think it took us like two or three years to get him in the door.”
Prediction Not publicly verifiable
Dylan Field: Figma plans to nearly double its headcount in 2021
“Well, we're still, speaking of board, we're still finalizing our twenty-twenty win plan, but I think we'll near double the team again, which is pretty wild.”
Assertion Supported
Dylan Field dropped out of Brown with Thiel Fellowship to start Figma
“Ended up dropping out with the support of the Teal Fellowship to go found Figma.”