why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Smith: Cotopaxi will build employee wealth rather than join a foundation
“And I actually think it's a win for Cotabaxi to, like, I don't want to give the company away to a foundation. I actually want to create something that can create wealth for many people within our organization, and that can allow them to go pass on this to thei…”
Assertion Supported
Cotopaxi tripled revenue in two and a half years post-Bain investment
“We've more than tripled our revenue, you know, since they've invested two and a half years ago.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Smith predicts Cotopaxi will become a multi-billion dollar business
“Are we a multi-billion dollar business? Not yet, but we will be.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Smith: Cotopaxi ranks in top 1% of startups from past decade
“If you look at, you know, the percentage of businesses that have started in the last 10 years, we are in the top one percent.”
Assertion Supported
Baby.com.br raised around $40M in venture capital
“At that point, we'd raised around forty million dollars in venture capital.”
Assertion Supported
Smith: Cotopaxi grew nearly 100% the year before he stepped down
“We'd grown a hundred percent almost the year before.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Smith pitched 100 investors before Kirsten Green backed Cotopaxi's seed round
“I pitched a hundred investors to get our first investor, you know, Kirsten green at forerunner. She backed us. I pitched a hundred investors in our first to raise that seed round.”
Assertion Supported
Smith: Every major Cotopaxi funding round was led by female investors
“Our first major investor, Kirsten Green, Our second major investor, Ellie Wheeler from Great Craft. Our third major investor, Brooke Harley. Our last investor with Bain Capital, Cecilia Chao. There's a trend. Women are leading rounds in our business.”
Assertion Supported
Smith: Cotopaxi grew 50% during recent fundraising process
“And even in the last 12 months since I started that fundraising process, we've think businesses increased 50%.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cotopaxi's slowest growth year in a decade was 2020 at 40%
“Our slowest growth year in the last 10 years was actually 20 20. We grew 40% that year, but we were profitable, significantly profitable, and it was because we tightened our belt in such a big way.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Davis Smith confirms he will not return as CEO of Cotopaxi
“I'm not the CEO anymore, and I have a CEO that's, we got a major upgrade. When I left. And so I'm not going to be the CEO”
Assertion Supported
Baby.com.br grew to 300 employees within 18 months of launching
“We grow to like 300 employees in like 18 months.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Davis Smith: Cotopaxi's initial concept was created in 36 hours
“I sat on the couch all night the next day and the entire following night. So, 36 hours on this couch. And during that period, and I took detailed notes, I still have the journal entries on my computer, and I basically had the entire idea for Cotopaxi.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Davis Smith takes annual island survival trips with no food
“Every year I do a survival trip or two where I go survive on an island, bring no food, spearfish, eat coconuts, build a shelter.”