why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Tisch: Any BoxGroup team member can individually approve an investment
“So we're a team of nine. Everyone on our team can say yes in an individual meeting. We don't need, we don't vote. We don't try to find groupthink.”
Assertion Contradicted
Tisch: Seed-to-Series A graduation rates hit 90-100% between 2018 and 2022
“And over that 19 or 18 to 22 period, you went to basically a hundred. Hundred percent of companies that raised the seed got an A. Maybe it was 90, 95.”
Prediction Held up
New breakout consumer mobile companies will emerge soon
“And I think you'll see new companies emerge. Is it going to happen this year? Is it going to happen next year? It's going to happen soon. It hasn't happened since Snapchat, right? They're the Snapchat, Tinder are the last big consumer companies to emerge. Thos…”
Assertion Supported
Tisch: Multi-stage funds writing seed checks has existed for years
“That's been around for over six, seven years now at a, like, infrastructure level across the entire seed market. That isn't new.”
Prediction Held up
Tisch: BoxGroup will not lead seed or Series A rounds
“We don't want to lead seed rounds. We don't want to lead series A rounds. We want to be sort of second or third biggest check on a cap table.”
Assertion Supported
Tisch: Gen Z is not using products built by Gen Z founders
“The youngest demographic that is active on technology, so call it the, like, 18 to 25 year old demo, is not using a product that's built by somebody of their generation.”
Assertion Supported
NYC tech ecosystem lacks a mega-scale anchor company
“The negative of what's happened here in the past seven years is you haven't seen the true emergence of a destination company, right? We have incredible companies that are building incredible foundations here. Some have went, went public already. Some will go p…”
Assertion Supported
BoxGroup recently closed a $212 million early-stage venture capital fund
“We are a, as of recently we just closed our sixth fund, so it's a two hundred and twelve million dollar early stage fund.”
Assertion Partly supported
Tisch: Seed rounds have shifted from $1M–$3M to $5M–$8M
“Seed has shifted, the word seed has shifted from a million to three million dollar round to a five to eight million dollar round.”
Prediction Held up
Tisch: BoxGroup will not expand into leading Series A rounds
“We are we are going to run whether you like it or not, the same model for a long time. And I think what that does is it aligns us with founders who are also going to build their business for a long time. We are consistent. We're not going to suddenly be a Seri…”
Assertion Supported
Tisch: Tech companies are now entering public markets at $100B+ liquid valuations
“Yet today there are a handful, not a lot, but a handful of companies that enter into a liquid public market At above a hundred billion dollars. That's not a private market overhyped valuation. That's now a public market with liquidity that you can actually tra…”
Assertion Partly supported
Tisch: VCs selling Shopify at IPO missed 100x post-public upside
“If you had sold Shopify when they went public, you left like a hundred X on the table. So don't sell Shopify. If you own Shopify as a VC, when they go public that you missed the actual bigger set of upside in that company.”
Assertion Supported
Tisch: DoorDash won a crowded market by finding a specific wedge
“DoorDash is an example. We're going to be the 12th player in this market. The market is big enough for multiple players, but it didn't mean that just entering the market Enables you to be a big outcome. They had to figure out their wedge.”
Assertion Supported
Tisch: BoxGroup invests $200K-$500K per startup and rarely leads seed rounds
“And so our check size typically ranges from basically 200,000 to 500,000. We're typically not the lead of a traditional seed round. We will lead a pre-seed round.”