The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

5statements match

1resolved → 0open predictions → 1held up → 0didn’t hold up →

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up

Teten: AngelList Will Expand Into Series A and Series B Rounds

“Absolutely.”

David Teten Dec 9, 2015 ▶ 18:18 20 VC 095: How VCs Find Startups and How To Add Value Once Invested with David Teten @ ff Venture Capital

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Teten: Generic VCs Lacking Differentiation Will Struggle in Upcoming Fundraising Cycles

“The generic VC, meaning the GC that doesn't have an edge, and the conventional VC that doesn't have something special that they bring to the table, will, I suspect, find themselves challenged in the next two fundraising cycles.”

David Teten Dec 9, 2015 ▶ 9:13 20 VC 095: How VCs Find Startups and How To Add Value Once Invested with David Teten @ ff Venture Capital

Prediction Not publicly verifiable

Teten: Most of the 500+ Crowdfunding Sites Will Fail

“There are also over 500 crowdfunding sites, and most of them will fail, so we're glad we invested in one of the clear winners of that game.”

David Teten Dec 9, 2015 ▶ 16:14 20 VC 095: How VCs Find Startups and How To Add Value Once Invested with David Teten @ ff Venture Capital

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Teten: Algorithmic Deal Sourcing Will Grow but Never Replace Traditional Methods

“So it will be a, an increasingly important tool in the VC's toolkit. But it will never be the only tool.”

David Teten Dec 9, 2015 ▶ 7:21 20 VC 095: How VCs Find Startups and How To Add Value Once Invested with David Teten @ ff Venture Capital

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Teten Predicts Market Downturn Will Shrink Non-Core VC Platform Teams

“When the market turns down, which it will, I think you will see some shrinkage in this model by the people who are not fully dedicated to it and who haven't built it out as a core part of their business.”

David Teten Dec 9, 2015 ▶ 13:49 20 VC 095: How VCs Find Startups and How To Add Value Once Invested with David Teten @ ff Venture Capital

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