why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Marcus: Speculative token era is ending, shifting innovation back to Bitcoin
“I think we're done with that or almost done with that. And I think that's why you see a lot more innovation coming back to Bitcoin as well, because people have come to realize that actually building real products that solve real people's problems is the way to…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Marcus: Debanking crypto will push transactions into opaque peer-to-peer channels
“I think the alternative is actually that you push the entire industry to be on the fringe and on the margin and all of these transactions become peer to peer and more opaque to regulation, which is absolutely the worst outcome for everyone involved, including …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Marcus: Coinbase will succeed long term by playing by regulatory rules
“Brian Armstrong has done a really, really good job at balancing this and from the get-go decided that he wanted to play by the rules and has been desperately demanding clear rules from the various regulators. And, you know, certainly I think over the long run,…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Marcus: SEC regulatory clarity for crypto will not happen soon
“If we're staying on, on our current path, I don't think it will happen soon. But I hope that I hope that the entire industry gets gets a lot of clarity.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Marcus: Next few AI model versions will excel at coding
“It's good at coding, but not great. I think the next few versions will be really great at coding, which is also where potential problems might come from.”