why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hsu claims DoorDash is the only major startup built from landing-page testing
“The only case where I know this might potentially have worked was I think it was paloaltodelivery.com or something, which then became DoorDash. I think it's the only sort of recorded case of this ever actually working, but if you look at all the other sort of …”
Assertion Partly supported
Retool reached a $1B valuation in 3.5 years with three employees
“I think if you look at Retool, you know, I think the company is, what, three and a half years old, so, you know, by all sort of means, it doesn't look like it was that slow, you know, reached a billion after an evaluation, at least, at three and a half. And ye…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hsu plans for Retool to eventually power all general software development
“Yeah, well, we're still very, very, very, very far away from our goal. Our goal is to be the way software is built. And today, point, you know, zero, zero, zero, zero, zero, zero, one bits of software is built in Retool today. So, you know, we're starting with…”
Assertion Supported
Hsu notes Zapier never raised venture capital after its seed round
“Zapier is now, I'm not sure, 50, 80, a hundred million or something like that, and to my knowledge, they've never raised a round after the seat.”