The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Approximately 70% of growth experiments and 50% of startup investments fail
“About 70% of growth experiments fail, and people say about 50% of company investments fail.”
Hype-driven startup growth almost certainly will not last multiple years
“And the other tough thing about hype is it's often short lived as quick as a week these days, or as long as like six months, but it's almost certainly not going to be multiple years.”
Deep experiment tuning can double or triple product conversion rates
“I've just seen conversion rates double or triple or even more sometimes, and you can get a tremendous amount out of it.”
Pinterest evolved its North Star metric from visitors to active board creators
“And one of my favorite stories of a metric changing is from Pinterest and from Casey. They actually changed the metric to go down the funnel. Like first it was just people arriving at the site, like kind of weekly active users and then weekly active pinners an…”