The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

0resolved → 0open predictions → 0held up → 0didn’t hold up →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Waterhouse: AI self-awareness and existential risk are still far off

“I think we're a long way from a way where suddenly the AI becomes self-aware and, switches on the nuclear bombs.”

Daniel Waterhouse Nov 25, 2015 ▶ 18:38 20 VC 091: Daniel Waterhouse @ Balderton Capital on Investing Styles, Venture Landscapes and The Future of AI

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Waterhouse: Every small business owner will run on smartphones by 2020

“And so this is a huge opportunity, and I think every small business owner will have their own bespoke software suite, which sits in their phone in the next five years.”

Daniel Waterhouse Nov 25, 2015 ▶ 13:07 20 VC 091: Daniel Waterhouse @ Balderton Capital on Investing Styles, Venture Landscapes and The Future of AI

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The Ledger

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