why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Wilkes predicts traditional banking functions will be fully integrated into Big Tech
“That won't be anything new or different, but the banking function, if you will, what we've thought of as a traditional banking function or financial function will absolutely be integrated into big tech.”
Opinion
Wilkes argues eager venture capital is driving overvaluations in the neobanking sector
“Yes, absolutely. I think the VCs are anxious to jump in and to participate, and that drives a bit of overvaluation.”
Assertion Contradicted
Wilkes claims Galileo powers 95% of North American digital banking transactions
“By a recent study, 95% of digital banking was occurring in the United States and North America was occurring on our platform.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wilkes: SoFi-Galileo combined offering will be unrivaled for 3-5 years
“I believe that we have created something that can't be rivaled in the marketplace for the next at least three to five years. I believe we've created something that's three to five year head start.”
Disclosure
Wilkes: Galileo raised venture capital primarily to get press and analyst coverage
“When we did make a decision to raise, you know, we were profitable and had been profitable for quite some time. We had a large and scaling business, but it was hard to get analysts and press to pay attention to you or to consider you as an alternative. It's an…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wilkes predicts a Fintech 2.0 wave will emerge in 3-10 years
“I believe with everything that I just said, I believe we are in our infancy in FinTech and there will be a second round. We saw this with the internet and it will happen here in FinTech. We will see a FinTech two point O and players will emerge that we have no…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wilkes reveals approximately 70% of the top 100 fintechs are Galileo clients
“Something like 70% of the top 100 fintechs are clients of ours.”
Prediction Held up
Wilkes correctly predicts Jennifer Doudna would win a Nobel Prize
“A Crack in Creation by Jennifer Duadna. I made a decision about a year ago. On that year, I was only going to read Nobel Prize winners, and I think she'll be one.”
Disclosure
Wilkes intentionally bootstrapped Galileo from inception to retain control
“When we founded the company, we knew we wanted to be bootstrapped. We wanted to go it alone. We weren't intending on taking money or significant amounts of money, which meant we were going to go slow by definition.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wilkes: Fintech leaders will rebundle services around friction-free consumer experiences
“This trend will continue, and what I believe will happen is that will drive change, and that change will be focused on an obsession with Consumer experience. So to the extent that they can bring in additional services, we're going to see a rebundling or reimag…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wilkes predicts Chime, Robinhood, Varo, and Current will become major players
“I think JP Morgan is not going away, but Chime, Robin Hood, Varo, Current, these companies are going to be significant players in their own right, and the growth rates are phenomenal, and that will continue.”
Disclosure
Wilkes: Galileo never pivoted because the industry caught up to its thesis
“We didn't face that in Galileo. I think that the original thesis worked and worked well, and the industry caught up to our thinking.”
Assertion Supported
Wilkes notes that 90% of payments in Mexico remain cash transactions
“For example, in Mexico, 90% of payments still are in cash to Today.”