why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chris Sacca: Commercial nuclear fusion is imminent, far under 30 years away
“You know, I deeply respect all the work you've done in the space, but you sound like someone who hasn't visited the lab in a while, because that's not where it is, and I can't preempt any announcements coming from any of our companies, but I can assure you it'…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chris Sacca: Rogue states will unilaterally deploy geoengineering if democracies do not
“And if we don't do it, You know, North Korea is going to do it on their own. Like, some rogue state is going to launch a projectile that explodes a bunch of dust in the atmosphere, and we won't know which dust, which altitude, and the best ways to do it, and w…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacca predicts Lowercarbon will outperform his legacy software venture investments
“Absolutely. I'll get way richer from this. I have multiple companies in the portfolio right now that have, like, they have a trajectory to being multi-trillion dollar market cap”
Prediction Not publicly verifiable
Sacca: Lowercarbon will only hire people who worked service or labor jobs
“And our organization will only hire people who have had shitty jobs, who've had service jobs, who've worked extremely hard for some point in their life, and who appreciate the worst day of being a VC doesn't begin to compare to the worst day.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2032
Chris Sacca predicts climate tech will make him richer than early web2
“Absolutely. I'll get way richer from this. I mean, we have, I have multiple companies in the portfolio right now that have the very like they have a trajectory to being multi-trillion dollar market cap.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacca: Lowercarbon will only hire candidates with service or manual labor experience
“And our organization will only hire people who have had shitty jobs, who've had service jobs, who've worked extremely hard for some point in their life, and who appreciate that the worst day of being a VC doesn't begin to compare to the worst day of working in…”