The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Cameron Adams: AI innovation speed will slow down within five years
“In five years time, I would say that AI innovation will have slowed by then, and a lot more will be standardized. Social patterns will be established of like how we interact with AI. The possibilities of what LLM can do are very well understood and known, and …”
Adams: Paid AI add-ons will commoditize into standard tiers
“I think in the short term, it might allow them to make more money. So, like, I think Microsoft and Google both have add-on packages that you pay for to get access to their AI stuff. I think that's a very short-term thing where it'll just become commoditized, p…”
Adams: The nature crisis will be more seismic than climate crisis
“Wedgetail is focused on the nature crisis, which is kind of the next big thing coming after the climate crisis. And it's probably going to be even more seismic.”
Adams: LLM market will mirror cloud infrastructure competition
“There's still a huge amount of competition there, and I think exactly the same will happen with LLMs. They'll be innovating, you know, Google will add a feature, OpenAI will add a feature, some other startup that we don't even know about yet will add a feature…”