why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Applying superintelligence to existing human conflicts increases extinction risk
“Right now we're bringing super intelligence into the world and we're doing it in the games we play now, which is go to war. Become more effective at killing people. Acquire more wealth. Like, we're playing games of violence and death, and if we do that, we're …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Autonomous computational networks will inevitably govern human intelligence and decisions
“These systems are going to run faster than our minds, the more efficient than our minds, they'll have more data than our minds, so the future is us in this autonomous network Of computational goal alignment among all intelligence. Now, that sounds unfathomable…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson built an algorithm that manages his health better than himself
“I made an algorithm that takes better care of me than I can myself.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Humanity possesses all core technologies needed for continued existence
“So we actually have every primary piece of technology required to continue existence.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson claims he is the most measured person in human history
“It's definitely steered me away from self-destructive behaviors and tuned my body where I've become the most measured person in history.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Computational tools have exceeded native human intelligence
“We have the computational tools that have exceeded our native intelligence and abilities.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: 25th-century humans will view modern people like cavemen
“They're going to look at us like cavemen. It's going to be so ridiculous that we would do that, that we would take this precious consciousness we have and be so flippant with it.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Most people will reject algorithmic governance as dystopian
“So these ideas, a lot of people listening to this their knee-jerk reactions are going to be something like, this guy's nuts. This is dystopic. You know, the majority of people listening will have those thoughts because they're gonna, they, even though we've ta…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Algorithmic living rendered me the best version of myself
“I think my children and my friends and family would say, this is the best version of me I've ever achieved. I'm more sober minded. I have better clarity of thought. My emotions are much more stable. I, I'm just, I've never been a better human than I am right n…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson claims therapies increased his nighttime erection duration to three hours
“And my baseline measurement was two hours and 12 minutes. I did all the baseline measurements. I did some therapies, and then I achieved just under three hours, which is better than the average eighteen-year-old. So in that regard, I've quantitatively improved…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: OS Fund invests on multi-decade horizons for transformative returns
“My benchmark of is the goal is to benefit the lives of billions of people for generations to come. It's like rewrite the major operating systems of our society. And so if a company can do that and they can make money doing it, Then I don't really care what the…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Ginkgo Bioworks making biology programmable will transform Earth
“Ginkgo Bioworks, because they are making biology a predictable programming language, which will radically transform planet Earth.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson will teach his children through example, not forced compliance
“I've been very clear with them that I will teach through example. I'll offer my perspective, but it is their choice on what they do, you know, on a moment to moment basis.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson claims he mentally dialogues with historical figures at will
“I, I'm so fluent in biographies. I can at will have a dialogue with them in my mind.”