The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 51 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Bryan Johnson: Humans are no longer qualified to manage their own affairs
“I'm fundamentally proposing that the human race is no longer qualified to manage our affairs.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 21:47 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: If death is not inevitable, existential scaffolding must be reconsidered
“If death is not inevitable, Then you have to reconsider all of your existential scaffolding.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 17:13 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: The true meaning of life is continued physical existence
“The meaning of life to me is, is like, is this, that when intelligence reaches a certain level of capability, which is right now, like after 4.5 billion years on this earth, In the past few years, we have reached a critical point after 4.5 billion years for th…”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 19:16 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Bryan Johnson believes most people on Earth passively accept or desire death
“I really don't want to die. And I'm here on this planet. With a bunch of people who do.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 29:29 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Applying superintelligence to existing human conflicts increases extinction risk
“Right now we're bringing super intelligence into the world and we're doing it in the games we play now, which is go to war. Become more effective at killing people. Acquire more wealth. Like, we're playing games of violence and death, and if we do that, we're …”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 45:09 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Autonomous computational networks will inevitably govern human intelligence and decisions
“These systems are going to run faster than our minds, the more efficient than our minds, they'll have more data than our minds, so the future is us in this autonomous network Of computational goal alignment among all intelligence. Now, that sounds unfathomable…”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 46:31 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson built an algorithm that manages his health better than himself
“I made an algorithm that takes better care of me than I can myself.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 24:30 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Bryan Johnson aims to earn respect from people in the 25th century
“The game I'm trying to play in life. Is how to be respected by the 25th century.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 40:50 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Bryan Johnson considers 'Don't Die' to be the only endurable truth
“This is why I arrived at Don't Die. It is the only thing in existence that I know.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 16:51 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Humanity possesses all core technologies needed for continued existence
“So we actually have every primary piece of technology required to continue existence.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 21:10 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson claims he is the most measured person in human history
“It's definitely steered me away from self-destructive behaviors and tuned my body where I've become the most measured person in history.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 26:01 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: Humans are as blind to the future as Homo erectus
“We know nothing about the future of our existence. We don't know what we're going to care about. We don't know what life is going to be like. We don't know what our values are going to be. We're just as blind, if not more so, than homo erectus.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 32:07 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Computational tools have exceeded native human intelligence
“We have the computational tools that have exceeded our native intelligence and abilities.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 0:12 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: Seeking likability in innovation leads to conformity
“If you play for likability in, for example, the new ideas space, that's a path for conformity. Because likability is conformity, and new ideas oftentimes disrupt that”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 8:07 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: 25th-century humans will view modern people like cavemen
“They're going to look at us like cavemen. It's going to be so ridiculous that we would do that, that we would take this precious consciousness we have and be so flippant with it.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 23:52 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: Algorithmic health protocols outperform human intuition despite flawed science
“Could it be wrong? Yes. Is it wrong? Likely. Is it better than me and what I was doing before? Yes.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 25:38 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Most people will reject algorithmic governance as dystopian
“So these ideas, a lot of people listening to this their knee-jerk reactions are going to be something like, this guy's nuts. This is dystopic. You know, the majority of people listening will have those thoughts because they're gonna, they, even though we've ta…”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 28:27 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Algorithmic living rendered me the best version of myself
“I think my children and my friends and family would say, this is the best version of me I've ever achieved. I'm more sober minded. I have better clarity of thought. My emotions are much more stable. I, I'm just, I've never been a better human than I am right n…”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 32:48 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Bryan Johnson: Religion is the most durable technology in human history
“If you look at the data, I think it might be fair to observe that religion has been the most powerful An effective and durable technology in all of history. It has outlasted nation states. It's outlasted technological trends. It's outlasted every other form of…”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 36:50 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Bryan Johnson: Discerning which AI timeline experts are correct is impossible
“If you're genuinely interested person about this question, you hear dozens of the top experts in the world all express different opinions, and for good reasons. Like, they all have well-reasoned arguments. And so then you say, what, how do I discern who's corr…”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 37:55 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: 'Don't Die' is a more universal game than capitalism or religion
“Don't die is the most played game in existence. No, there's no game on planet earth that intelligence, all intelligence plays more than don't die. Every second of every day, all of us are playing don't die. And it's played even more than capitalism played it p…”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 43:36 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson views weight-loss drugs like Ozempic as biological algorithms
“Now, an example is, Ozembek is an algorithm. If people are overweight, and they're having problems with overeating, You take a pill, and it turns off hunger. Let's put side effects aside for a moment. It is an algorithm that changes your hunger profile, and it…”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 47:06 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson claims therapies increased his nighttime erection duration to three hours
“And my baseline measurement was two hours and 12 minutes. I did all the baseline measurements. I did some therapies, and then I achieved just under three hours, which is better than the average eighteen-year-old. So in that regard, I've quantitatively improved…”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 49:19 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Bryan Johnson: Framing social debauchery and vices as healthy bonding is bullshit
“Debauchery. The stories that people tell of their favorite vice, you know, it's like the glass of wine and the bowl of pasta with friends late at night talking about blankety blank as their most special moments. They treat it as though that's the only way that…”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 50:54 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Bryan Johnson: Hard science VC is less competitive than software investing
“I found it to be less competitive and less cutthroat and Then say, for example, you find the behavior and investing in a particular app or software company where you have, you know, dozens and dozens of companies that could are viable capital sources. There's …”
Bryan Johnson Jan 25, 2016 ▶ 8:41 20VC: Bryan Johnson @ OS Fund & Braintree on Investing In The Operating Systems Of Life & Why VC Should All Be Open Source
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: OS Fund invests on multi-decade horizons for transformative returns
“My benchmark of is the goal is to benefit the lives of billions of people for generations to come. It's like rewrite the major operating systems of our society. And so if a company can do that and they can make money doing it, Then I don't really care what the…”
Bryan Johnson Jan 25, 2016 ▶ 12:59 20VC: Bryan Johnson @ OS Fund & Braintree on Investing In The Operating Systems Of Life & Why VC Should All Be Open Source
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson: Ginkgo Bioworks making biology programmable will transform Earth
“Ginkgo Bioworks, because they are making biology a predictable programming language, which will radically transform planet Earth.”
Bryan Johnson Jan 25, 2016 ▶ 17:10 20VC: Bryan Johnson @ OS Fund & Braintree on Investing In The Operating Systems Of Life & Why VC Should All Be Open Source
Insight
Bryan Johnson: Pause judgment on new ideas to prevent knee-jerk bias
“And I make a rule for myself that whenever I encounter a new idea, I try to set up an alert in my brain that says, alert, new idea has landed. And when a new idea lands, the rule is I can't say anything or think anything to form conclusions for some duration o…”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 1:03 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Bryan Johnson created distinct internal personas to manage his negative behaviors
“I built this off of the idea of the evening Brian concept where he overate and he couldn't control himself and that I separated myself into different versions of me.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 3:22 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: People reject new ideas because they threaten their fundamental identity
“So if you're already geared up and say, I find that I'm valuable in society because I'm doing this heroic act. If you remove the underlying layer, it's no longer heroic and valuable. And so it removes all other identity. And so your knee-jerk response would be…”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 4:12 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Bryan Johnson: Questioning my religion was my most uncomfortable life experience
“And that is the most uncomfortable thing I had ever encountered in my life because Every single bit of my reality, my family and my children and my community and my identity and my ambitions, everything was built upon that thing.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 5:17 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: Pain and suffering are inevitable and shouldn't be minimized
“To me, it just feels like so much of life is inevitable pain and suffering, and it's not a negative. It's just a different experience, and I don't know if I would even try to minimize it.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 6:35 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: New ideas should be excavated rather than accepted or rejected
“And so for me, new ideas are not something to accept or reject. New ideas are something to excavate.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 10:13 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: Pressure-testing ideas requires three core questions about truth conditions
“Unless you ask those three questions of what must be true, what must remain true, and what would change to make that entirely untrue, you don't pressure test the ideas well enough and you're stuck in this very narrow band of thought.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 13:39 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: Mid-term future is fog compared to immediate and long-term futures
“We can probably know immediate things with high certainty, and we can probably know long-term things with reasonable certainty, but in the middle, we just have fog and everyone plays in the middle of fog.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 15:33 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson handles physical urges by observing them as external ideas
“So that, that is an idea that is introduced to me of you are hungry and you should eat. And so I, the same with a new idea, I watched the idea land. I watch who responds and I just witness and observe the whole thing.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 26:40 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson will teach his children through example, not forced compliance
“I've been very clear with them that I will teach through example. I'll offer my perspective, but it is their choice on what they do, you know, on a moment to moment basis.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 33:30 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Bryan Johnson: Rebuilding community after leaving religion prevents loneliness
“I've, no, I don't. I've recreated my social life, my community. I've gotten, it was growing up in a religion community is solved for you. Everyone is there for you. They're all similar. You all have the same beliefs. It's easy to have friends. It's easy to get…”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 36:09 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: Chronic poor sleep normalizes people to a blurred reality
“After doing this for years, when you sleep poorly, you do normalize to it, but you're normalized to a blurred state of reality. You don't remember what the clarity of good sleep feels like.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 40:10 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: Four hours of sleep and bad lifestyle cause mind intoxication
“You can't be getting four hours of sleep a night and having a poor diet and exercise. You, you're going to render yourself. You can't Overcome that level of intoxication. You're legitimately intoxicated by mind, and you're just impaired.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 41:16 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Bryan Johnson put his 71-year-old father on the Blueprint longevity protocol
“My dad is 71. His life expectancy based upon how he's lived his life is 68. He's been obese, and he's done hard hard drugs, and so I've been working with him on Project Keep Dad Alive. And he's been doing all the advanced therapies I have. He's on blueprint.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 41:54 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Bryan Johnson says public online critique makes him endlessly happy
“No. It makes me endlessly happy.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 49:58 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: Reframe your identity as a professional sleeper to fix sleep
“Reframe your identity, that you are a professional sleeper. So in the same way that each one of us every day shows up to our meetings on time, if we're two minutes late, we apologize. So set your bedtime and show up on time. And if you're two minutes late, apo…”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 50:22 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Bryan Johnson: Modern technology allows humanity to program its own existence
“I spent, during that time, a lot of, spent a lot of time reading science and technology and trying to figure out where the human race was going, and I came to, like, was one realization that changed my outlook and my understanding forever, my relationship with…”
Bryan Johnson Jan 25, 2016 ▶ 2:59 20VC: Bryan Johnson @ OS Fund & Braintree on Investing In The Operating Systems Of Life & Why VC Should All Be Open Source
Disclosure
Bryan Johnson focuses OS Fund on capitalistic, return-driven venture investments
“So at this point in my life, I've decided to use to pursue capitalistic models where I can invest in something, it can make money, and then it can also return a greater sum to me.”
Bryan Johnson Jan 25, 2016 ▶ 8:06 20VC: Bryan Johnson @ OS Fund & Braintree on Investing In The Operating Systems Of Life & Why VC Should All Be Open Source
Opinion
Bryan Johnson: Blockchain's societal impact is as unpredictable as the printing press
“I love it. It's a fantastic technology. It's that, I mean, I guess I kind of think of it like, I mean, the blockchain technology, I kind of think of it like the printing press, where when we figured out how we could, someone could write words, and it could be …”
Bryan Johnson Jan 25, 2016 ▶ 14:46 20VC: Bryan Johnson @ OS Fund & Braintree on Investing In The Operating Systems Of Life & Why VC Should All Be Open Source
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson claims he mentally dialogues with historical figures at will
“I, I'm so fluent in biographies. I can at will have a dialogue with them in my mind.”
Bryan Johnson Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 51:39 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Bryan Johnson: OS Fund built science investment frameworks using Big Pharma practices
“So we used we went out and analyzed a number of different decision-making processes for Big Pharma and Big Oil, how they actually gather data, process data, and make decisions. So we used decision analysis and created a model that helped guide us through what …”
Bryan Johnson Jan 25, 2016 ▶ 10:14 20VC: Bryan Johnson @ OS Fund & Braintree on Investing In The Operating Systems Of Life & Why VC Should All Be Open Source
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